Arka Gdynia vs Wisła Płock: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock
Result
1:0
29/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 7
  • Referee: Malec P. (Pol)
Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.781.37
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
05
Passes
81% (351/432)80% (321/403)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.781.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.13
Total shots
818
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
05
Touches in opposition box
1325
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
81% (351/432)80% (321/403)
Long passes
38% (21/56)42% (26/62)
Passes in final third
67% (87/129)64% (47/74)
Crosses
25% (3/12)29% (7/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.48
Throw-ins
1822
Fouls
1210
Tackles
50% (7/14)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4759
Clearances
2821
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.130.85
Goals prevented
0.13-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Espiau Hernandez E. D. , Navarro M. (A),
  • 53', Djalo M. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 62', Nastic B. , Lecoeuche Q. ,
  • 62', Sekulski L. , Salvador I. ,
  • 69', Oliveira J. , Gaprindashvili T. ,
  • 69', Kerk S. , Vitalucci H. ,
  • 71', Nowak W. , Niarchos G. ,
  • 71', Custovic K. , Hiszpanski F. ,
  • 76', Jimenez J. 🟨,
  • 76', Salvador I. 🟨,
  • 78', Celestine J. 🟨,
  • 80', Espiau Hernandez E. D. , Percan ,
  • 90+2', Vitalucci H. , Predenkiewicz M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arka Gdynia
36%
Draw
29.2%
Wisła Płock
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 26.8% 28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 26.9% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arka Gdynia's form might have worsened.
  • Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wisła Płock's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arka Gdynia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wisła Płock, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.11)
    3.24
    (3.48)
    2.73
    (3.24)
    5.7%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 1 - 5%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 12 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 38.5%81.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 3.
    • Arka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Wisła Płock is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Arka: Gojny D. (Inactive) Jakubczyk K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Wisła Płock: Gostomski M. (Knee Injury) Wieckowski M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arka won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock were as follows:
    12.05.2025 Wisła Płock - Arka Gdynia 1:0
    02.11.2024 Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock 2:0
    21.04.2024 Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock 2:0
    07.10.2023 Wisła Płock - Arka Gdynia 0:3
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Latest results of Wisła Płock
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock751110:4616
    2Cracovia742113:9414
    3Gornik Zabrze740310:5512
    4Jagiellonia540112:9312
    5Korona Kielce732210:7311
    6Lech Poznan531110:10010
    7Pogon Szczecin731311:13-210
    8Radomiak Radom722313:1218
    9Termalica B-B722310:1008
    10Motor Lublin62226:9-38
    11Arka Gdynia72235:8-38
    12Legia52126:427
    13Widzew Lodz72149:907
    14GKS Katowice721410:15-57
    15Zaglebie613212:1026
    16Rakow52036:9-36
    17Piast Gliwice50322:5-33
    18Lechia Gdansk712412:19-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
    polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
    ukraineUkraineSport 2
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
    worldWorldSport 1 Baltic, Sport 2 Baltic
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