St. Gallen vs Winterthur: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Swiss Super League St. Gallen - Winterthur
Result
1:4
10/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Relegation Group - Round 35
  • Referee: Horisberger S. (Sui)
St. Gallen - Winterthur - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.652.34
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
2114
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
82% (460/559)67% (211/316)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.652.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.413.45
Total shots
2114
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
1311
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
3618
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
82% (460/559)67% (211/316)
Long passes
52% (31/60)38% (27/71)
Passes in final third
72% (129/178)57% (66/116)
Crosses
9% (2/22)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
2.191.52
Throw-ins
2316
Fouls
1210
Tackles
58% (7/12)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4145
Clearances
1430
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
3.450.41
Goals prevented
-0.55-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', Stanic J. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Daschner L. , Konietzke C. (A),
  • 22', Gortler L. , Mambimbi F. ,
  • 28', Arnold R. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Lukembila J. , Burkart N. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 2, Di Giusto M. , Lukembila J. (A),
  • 43', Stanic J. , Vandermersch H. ,
  • 45', Witzig C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Okoroji C. , Faber K. ,
  • 48', Sidler S. 🟨,
  • 53', 1 - 3, Burkart N. , Lukembila J. (A),
  • 59', Zuffi L. , Cueni S. ,
  • 66', Konietzke C. , Stevanovic M. ,
  • 66', Witzig C. , Akolo C. ,
  • 68', Jankewitz A. 🟨,
  • 70', Di Giusto M. , Frei F. ,
  • 70', Gomis C. , Muhl L. ,
  • 76', Lukembila J. , Bajrami L. ,
  • 76', Burkart N. , Buess R. ,
  • 78', 1 - 4, Bajrami L. , Buess R. (A),

Chances of winning


St. Gallen
58.3%
Draw
22.1%
Winterthur
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.5% 18.6% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3% 20.2% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Gallen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Gallen's form might have worsened.
  • Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (+14%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Gallen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Winterthur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • St. Gallen - Winterthur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.4)
    4.28
    (5)
    4.82
    (6.25)
    6.1%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for St. Gallen - Winterthur?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. St. Gallen will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Winterthur will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Winterthur: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Winterthur (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 1.
    • St. Gallen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Winterthur is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, St. Gallen is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in St. Gallen: Buttiker P. (Inactive) Diaby A. (Inactive) Fazliji B. (Knee Injury) Nsame J. (Injury) Nuhu M. (Knee Injury) Vallci A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Winterthur: Rohner F. (Knee Injury) Schattin T. (Inactive) Schneider R. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:29. (average 1.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Gallen won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:15. (average 3:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Gallen - Winterthur were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Winterthur - St. Gallen 4:0
    30.10.2024 St. Gallen - Winterthur 2:2
    20.07.2024 Winterthur - St. Gallen 1:0
    20.05.2024 Winterthur - St. Gallen 1:3
    17.02.2024 St. Gallen - Winterthur 2:2
    Latest results of St. Gallen
    06.05.2025 Yverdon - St. Gallen 1:1
    21.04.2025 St. Gallen - Sion 1:0
    13.04.2025 Lugano - St. Gallen 1:1
    06.04.2025 St. Gallen - Servette 1:0
    03.04.2025 Luzern - St. Gallen 1:1
    Latest results of Winterthur
    03.05.2025 Winterthur - Grasshoppers 2:0
    19.04.2025 Grasshoppers - Winterthur 0:1
    05.04.2025 Winterthur - Zürich 0:0
    02.04.2025 Sion - Winterthur 1:2
    Swiss Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lausanne00000:000
    2Lugano00000:000
    3Servette00000:000
    4Basel00000:000
    5Young Boys00000:000
    6Zurich00000:000
    7Grasshoppers00000:000
    8Luzern00000:000
    9Sion00000:000
    10St. Gallen00000:000
    11Thun00000:000
    12Winterthur00000:000

          Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
          Super League (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of St. Gallen - Winterthur?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
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