Lugano vs Winterthur: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Swiss Super League Lugano - Winterthur
16/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SWITZERLAND: Super League - Round 28
  • Referee: Horisberger S. (Sui)
Lugano - Winterthur - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.97
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
168
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
52
Blocked Shots
83
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
94
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
104
Offsides
02
Fouls
410
Yellow Cards
02
Throw-ins
2427
Touches in the Opposition Box
3613
Passes
84% (404/483)82% (329/403)
Passes in the final third
73% (96/132)68% (78/115)
Crosses
38% (10/26)33% (4/12)
Tackles
67% (10/15)87% (13/15)
Clearances Total
1124
Interceptions
1310

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Belhadj M. , Macek R. ,
  • 46', Gomis C. , Di Giusto M. ,
  • 46', Schneider R. , Durrer A. ,
  • 51', 1 - 0, Koutsias G. , Macek R. (A),
  • 56', 2 - 0, Koutsias G. , Bislimi U. (A),
  • 63', Burkart N. , Jankewitz A. ,
  • 63', Frei F. , Buess R. ,
  • 63', Stillhart B. , Bajrami L. ,
  • 65', Bislimi U. , Doumbia O. ,
  • 65', Marques M. , Valenzuela M. ,
  • 66', Jankewitz A. 🟨,
  • 72', Sidler S. 🟨,
  • 82', Zanotti M. , Brault-Guillard Z. ,
  • 84', Dos Santos D. , Sbai Y. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Luthi L. , Zuffi L. (A),

Chances of winning


Lugano
67.6%
Draw
19.2%
Winterthur
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.6% 18.9% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2% 17.9% 12.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Lugano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Lugano - Winterthur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.39)
    4.88
    (4.99)
    7.08
    (6.94)
    6.6%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Lugano - Winterthur?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is Lugano will win! (8 of 8 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugano won 4.
    • Lugano has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Winterthur is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Winterthur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Lugano is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I. (Hamstring Injury) Cimignani Y. (Yellow Cards) Mahou H. (Inactive) Pseftis F. (Inactive) Vladi S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Winterthur: Rohner F. (Knee Injury) Schattin T. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Winterthur: Lekaj G. (Inactive)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lugano won 15 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 38:18 (average 1.9:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lugano won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20:7 (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Winterthur were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Winterthur - Lugano 2:3
    29.09.2024 Lugano - Winterthur 2:1
    16.05.2024 Lugano - Winterthur 4:2
    06.04.2024 Winterthur - Lugano 2:2
    10.12.2023 Lugano - Winterthur 2:1
    Latest results of Lugano
    13.03.2025 Lugano - Celje 5:5
    09.03.2025 Sion - Lugano 2:1
    06.03.2025 Celje - Lugano 1:0
    02.03.2025 Lugano - Zürich 0:3
    26.02.2025 Biel-Bienne - Lugano 2:0
    Latest results of Winterthur
    08.03.2025 Yverdon - Winterthur 2:1
    01.03.2025 Winterthur - St. Gallen 4:0
    23.02.2025 Servette - Winterthur 3:1
    15.02.2025 Winterthur - Young Boys 1:0
    09.02.2025 Luzern - Winterthur 3:2
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1GrasshoppersAarau0 : 1, 4 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Lugano - Winterthur?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
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