NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen - Willem II
Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 31
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
NEC Nijmegen - Willem II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.830.56
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
78% (355/453)80% (388/483)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.830.56
xG on target (xGOT)
2.580.49
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
175
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
915
Passes
78% (355/453)80% (388/483)
Long passes
44% (31/70)47% (42/90)
Passes in final third
61% (86/142)66% (71/107)
Crosses
45% (14/31)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.350.51
Throw-ins
268
Fouls
159
Tackles
64% (7/11)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4367
Clearances
1326
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.492.58
Goals prevented
0.491.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Verdonk C. (Own goal),
  • 37', Sano K. 🟨,
  • 41', Proper D. , Shiogai K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hansen S. , Linssen B. ,
  • 46', Ogawa K. , Ouaissa S. ,
  • 64', Meerveld R. , Ahmed Fatah A. ,
  • 65', Larsen L. O. , Onal B. ,
  • 76', Bosch J. , Kaygin D. ,
  • 83', Kehrer E. , Doodeman N. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Shiogai K. , Ouwejan T. (A),
  • 84', Nizet R. 🟨,
  • 84', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Lachkar A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


NEC Nijmegen
61.2%
Draw
22.3%
Willem II
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 24.2% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 23.2% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC Nijmegen's performance.
  • Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • NEC Nijmegen - Willem II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.71)
    4.25
    (3.89)
    5.79
    (4.58)
    5.2%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Willem II?
  • Users Predictions: NEC Nijmegen will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2.
    • Recent performances by Nijmegen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Willem II has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Nijmegen is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Linssen B. (Inactive) Nuytinck B. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Willem II: Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Tirpan M. (Illness)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 0.9:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Willem II were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Willem II - NEC Nijmegen 4:1
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    27.04.2025 Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen 1:0
    11.04.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk 2:1
    29.03.2025 NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar 3:3
    15.03.2025 Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen 0:1
    Latest results of Willem II
    13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2
    04.04.2025 Heerenveen - Willem II 3:1
    29.03.2025 Willem II - Almere City 0:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV11006:153
    2Nijmegen11005:053
    3Utrecht11004:043
    4AZ Alkmaar11004:133
    5Ajax11002:023
    6Feyenoord11002:023
    7Zwolle11001:013
    8Sittard10102:201
    9G.A. Eagles10102:201
    10FC Volendam10101:101
    11Heerenveen10101:101
    12Twente10010:1-10
    13Telstar10010:2-20
    14NAC Breda10010:2-20
    15Groningen10011:4-30
    16Heracles10010:4-40
    17Sparta Rotterdam10011:6-50
    18Excelsior10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Which TV channels are streaming of NEC Nijmegen - Willem II?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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