Willem II vs Heracles Almelo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Willem II - Heracles Almelo
09/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Willem II - Heracles Almelo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Willem II 37.6%Draw 27.5%Heracles Almelo 35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Willem II 46.2%Draw 25.7%Heracles Almelo 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Willem II 46.4%Draw 25.8%Heracles Almelo 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Willem II's form might have worsened.
  • Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heracles Almelo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Willem II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heracles Almelo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Willem II - Heracles Almelo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.04)
    3.44
    (3.67)
    2.7
    (3.35)
    5.7%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Willem II - Heracles Almelo?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is Heracles Almelo will win! (24 of 27 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 1.
    • Willem II is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Heracles has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 35:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 2.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Heracles Almelo - Willem II 1:1
    17.02.2023 Heracles Almelo - Willem II 1:1
    04.11.2022 Willem II - Heracles Almelo 1:2
    Latest results of Willem II
    03.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Willem II 1:1
    13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2
    04.04.2025 Heerenveen - Willem II 3:1
    29.03.2025 Willem II - Almere City 0:2
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ajax ✔ 31235363:273674
    2PSV31224593:355870
    3Feyenoord31198472:333965
    4Utrecht31188561:421962
    5Twente ✔ 31149858:441451
    6AZ Alkmaar ✔ 31148951:341750
    7G.A. Eagles ✔ 311381052:49347
    8Heerenveen311171339:53-1440
    9Groningen311081338:46-838
    10Sittard311061535:53-1836
    11Sparta Rotterdam318111234:39-535
    12Heracles318111238:56-1835
    13Nijmegen31971543:45-234
    14Zwolle318101338:49-1134
    15NAC Breda31881533:53-2032
    16Willem II31671831:51-2025
    17Almere City31481921:59-3820
    18Waalwijk31472036:68-3219

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ajax is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Twente is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    AZ Alkmaar is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    G.A. Eagles is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
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