Result
3:1
04/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Eredivisie - Round 28
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (333/410) | 86% (376/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.58 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (333/410) | 86% (376/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/47) | 58% (31/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (84/114) | 75% (73/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 47% (8/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.64 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (18/23) | 42% (8/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 53 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 3.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Nicolaescu I. ⚽, Brouwers L. (A),
- 32', 2 - 0, Kersten S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Doodeman N. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
- 46', Brouwers L. ↓, van Ee E. ↑,
- 64', Sigurgeirsson R. ↓, Nizet R. ↑,
- 64', Joosten P. ↓, Ahmed Fatah A. ↑,
- 66', 3 - 0, Sebaoui I. ⚽, van Ee E. (A),
- 72', Nicolaescu I. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 1, Bosch J. ⚽, Kehrer E. (A),
- 79', Sebaoui I. ↓, Trenskow J. ↑,
- 81', Lachkar A. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
- 88', Behounek R. 🟨,
- 89', Jahanbakhsh A. ↓, Gurbuz E. ↑,
- 89', Linday M. ↓, Conde A. ↑,
Chances of winning
| Heerenveen 62.9% | Draw 22.4% | Willem II 14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis) | Heerenveen 53.3% | Draw 24.2% | Willem II 22.5% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
| Heerenveen 54% | Draw 23.9% | Willem II 22.2% |
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heerenveen's performance.Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Willem II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heerenveen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Willem II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Heerenveen - Willem II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.77) |
4.22 ↑
(3.89) |
6.53 ↑
(4.18) |
5.3%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Willem II?
The most likely score is 2:0.
User prediction is Heerenveen will win! (15 of 18 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 3.
- Recent matches Heerenveen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Willem II has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Heerenveen is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P.
(Knee Injury)
Braude O.
(Yellow Cards)
Nunnely C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Willem II: Lambert B.
(Inactive)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
Sandra C.
(Inactive)
Tirpan M.
(Inactive)
Vaesen K.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Trenskow J.
(Knock)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 37:25 (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Heerenveen won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:11 (average 2.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Willem II?
Heerenveen has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Heerenveen?
Willem II has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Willem II were as follows:
08.12.2024
Willem II
-
Heerenveen
1:2
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ajax ✔ | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63:27 | 36 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 93:35 | 58 | 70 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 72:33 | 39 | 65 |
| 4 | Utrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61:42 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Twente ✔ | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 58:44 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar ✔ | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 51:34 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | G.A. Eagles ✔ | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 52:49 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39:53 | -14 | 40 |
| 9 | Groningen | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 | Sittard | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 35:53 | -18 | 36 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 34:39 | -5 | 35 |
| 12 | Heracles | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 38:56 | -18 | 35 |
| 13 | Nijmegen | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 43:45 | -2 | 34 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 38:49 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 33:53 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Willem II | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31:51 | -20 | 25 |
| 17 | Almere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21:59 | -38 | 20 |
| 18 | Waalwijk | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 36:68 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ajax is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Twente is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
AZ Alkmaar is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
G.A. Eagles is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
Which TV channels are streaming of Heerenveen - Willem II?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
