Heerenveen vs Willem II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Heerenveen - Willem II
Result
3:1
04/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 28
  • Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
Heerenveen - Willem II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.42
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
2213
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
81% (333/410)86% (376/439)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.42
xG on target (xGOT)
3.580.80
Total shots
2213
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
1410
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2618
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
712
Passes
81% (333/410)86% (376/439)
Long passes
40% (19/47)58% (31/53)
Passes in final third
74% (84/114)75% (73/97)
Crosses
24% (6/25)47% (8/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.231.64
Fouls
127
Tackles
78% (18/23)42% (8/19)
Duels won
5553
Clearances Total
2229
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.803.58
Goals prevented
-0.200.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Nicolaescu I. , Brouwers L. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 0, Kersten S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Doodeman N. , Kehrer E. ,
  • 46', Brouwers L. , van Ee E. ,
  • 64', Sigurgeirsson R. , Nizet R. ,
  • 64', Joosten P. , Ahmed Fatah A. ,
  • 66', 3 - 0, Sebaoui I. , van Ee E. (A),
  • 72', Nicolaescu I. , Rallis D. ,
  • 75', 3 - 1, Bosch J. , Kehrer E. (A),
  • 79', Sebaoui I. , Trenskow J. ,
  • 81', Lachkar A. , Sylla Y. ,
  • 88', Behounek R. 🟨,
  • 89', Jahanbakhsh A. , Gurbuz E. ,
  • 89', Linday M. , Conde A. ,

Chances of winning


Heerenveen
62.9%
Draw
22.4%
Willem II
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 24.2% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 23.9% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heerenveen's performance.
  • Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Willem II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heerenveen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Willem II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Heerenveen - Willem II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.77)
    4.22
    (3.89)
    6.53
    (4.18)
    5.3%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Willem II?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is Heerenveen will win! (15 of 18 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 3.
    • Recent matches Heerenveen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Willem II has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Heerenveen is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P. (Knee Injury) Braude O. (Yellow Cards) Nunnely C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Willem II: Lambert B. (Inactive) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Sandra C. (Inactive) Tirpan M. (Inactive) Vaesen K. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Heerenveen: Trenskow J. (Knock)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 37:25 (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Heerenveen won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:11 (average 2.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Willem II were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Willem II - Heerenveen 1:2
    Latest results of Heerenveen
    30.03.2025 Utrecht - Heerenveen 2:0
    08.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen 2:1
    02.03.2025 Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar 3:1
    16.02.2025 Zwolle - Heerenveen 1:1
    Latest results of Willem II
    29.03.2025 Willem II - Almere City 0:2
    09.03.2025 Willem II - Utrecht 2:3
    15.02.2025 Willem II - Groningen 1:3
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1De GraafschapDordrecht0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2ByeWillem II
    3TelstarDen Haag1 : 0, 2 : 0
    4Den BoschCambuur1 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1DordrechtWillem II2 : 4, 2 : 1
    2TelstarDen Bosch2 : 1, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Willem IITelstar1 : 3, 2 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Heerenveen - Willem II?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
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