Fortuna Sittard vs Willem II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard - Willem II
Result
1:0
27/04/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 30
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
Fortuna Sittard - Willem II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.23
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
87% (335/387)86% (335/390)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.160.11
Total shots
134
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
91
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
289
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
87% (335/387)86% (335/390)
Long passes
44% (16/36)65% (30/46)
Passes in final third
78% (108/138)74% (72/97)
Crosses
37% (11/30)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.770.67
Throw-ins
1821
Fouls
1211
Tackles
46% (6/13)83% (15/18)
Duels won
4552
Clearances
2632
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.111.16
Goals prevented
0.110.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Aiko M. , Tunjic L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Adewoye S. , Rosier L. ,
  • 51', Sandra C. , Doodeman N. ,
  • 61', Dijks M. , Dahlhaus J. ,
  • 62', Sierhuis K. , Radulovic B. ,
  • 62', 1 - 0, Bullaude E. , Dahlhaus J. (A),
  • 70', Bosch J. , Vaesen K. ,
  • 70', Bokila J. , Sylla Y. ,
  • 70', Nizet R. , Sigurgeirsson R. ,
  • 78', Peterson K. , Mitrovic J. ,
  • 85', Schouten E. , Ahmed Fatah A. ,

Chances of winning


Fortuna Sittard 55%Draw 25.4%Willem II 19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Fortuna Sittard 47.8%Draw 26.3%Willem II 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Fortuna Sittard 41.8%Draw 23%Willem II 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortuna Sittard's performance.
  • Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Willem II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Sittard that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Willem II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fortuna Sittard - Willem II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.97)
    3.75
    (3.58)
    4.83
    (3.63)
    4.6%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - Willem II?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 2.
    • Fortuna Sittard is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Willem II has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Fortuna Sittard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Fortuna Sittard is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S. (Illness) Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Da Cruz A. (Injury) Halilovic A. (Injury) Michut E. (Red Card) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Willem II: Lambert B. (Inactive) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Tirpan M. (Inactive) van Loon P. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Mitrovic J. (Inactive)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:18 (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:10 (average 2.6:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - Willem II were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Willem II - Fortuna Sittard 0:0
    Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
    Latest results of Willem II
    13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2
    04.04.2025 Heerenveen - Willem II 3:1
    29.03.2025 Willem II - Almere City 0:2
    09.03.2025 Willem II - Utrecht 2:3
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ajax ✔ 31235363:273674
    2PSV31224593:355870
    3Feyenoord31198472:333965
    4Utrecht31188561:421962
    5Twente ✔ 31149858:441451
    6AZ Alkmaar ✔ 31148951:341750
    7G.A. Eagles ✔ 311381052:49347
    8Heerenveen311171339:53-1440
    9Groningen311081338:46-838
    10Sittard311061535:53-1836
    11Sparta Rotterdam318111234:39-535
    12Heracles318111238:56-1835
    13Nijmegen31971543:45-234
    14Zwolle318101338:49-1134
    15NAC Breda31881533:53-2032
    16Willem II31671831:51-2025
    17Almere City31481921:59-3820
    18Waalwijk31472036:68-3219

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ajax is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Twente is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    AZ Alkmaar is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    G.A. Eagles is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Fortuna Sittard - Willem II?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
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