Watford vs Wigan Athletic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Watford - Wigan Athletic
Result
1:1
18/03/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 38
  • Referee: Scott G. (Eng)
Watford - Wigan Athletic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Watford
56.6%
Draw
26%
Wigan Athletic
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 26.4% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 19.4% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-16%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Watford that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigan Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Watford - Wigan Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.67)
    3.65
    (3.5)
    5.45
    (5.02)
    5.3%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Watford - Wigan Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Wigan will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 50.5%99.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Watford has the most likely position - 8 (14.42%), project points - 68, currently - 54, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), a very small chance of promoted (4%), not chance of win league.
    • Wigan has the most likely position - 24 (35.42%), project points - 42, currently - 33, a good chance of relegated (83%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has quality 38, importance 31, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Watford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Wigan is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Wigan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Watford is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Watford: Choudhury H. (Yellow Cards) Cleverley T. (Leg Injury) Dele-Bashiru T. (Injury) Ferreira J. (Muscle Injury) Gosling D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Hause K. (Knee Injury) Kamara H. (Muscle Injury) Kayembe E. (Calf Injury) Sierralta F. (Broken ankle)
    • There will not play in Wigan: Kelly M. (Knee Injury) Kerr J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wigan: Whatmough J. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Watford won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Wigan Athletic were as follows:
    29.10.2022 Wigan Athletic - Watford 0:1
    Latest results of Watford
    Latest results of Wigan Athletic
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Birmingham00000:000
    2Blackburn00000:000
    3Derby00000:000
    4Middlesbrough00000:000
    5Portsmouth00000:000
    6Bristol City00000:000
    7Charlton00000:000
    8Coventry00000:000
    9Hull00000:000
    10Ipswich00000:000
    11Leicester00000:000
    12Norwich00000:000
    13Preston00000:000
    14QPR00000:000
    15Sheffield Utd00000:000
    16Sheffield Wed00000:000
    17Southampton00000:000
    18Stoke00000:000
    19Watford00000:000
    20West Brom00000:000
    21Millwall00000:000
    22Swansea00000:000
    23Wrexham00000:000
    24Oxford Utd00000:000

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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