Wigan Athletic vs Notts County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Wigan Athletic - Notts County
Result
1:0
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
Wigan Athletic - Notts County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.52
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
77% (236/308)86% (481/557)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.170.36
Total shots
910
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1520
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
77% (236/308)86% (481/557)
Long passes
29% (17/58)50% (22/44)
Passes in final third
49% (33/67)70% (71/102)
Crosses
11% (1/9)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.44
Throw-ins
1821
Fouls
1511
Tackles
45% (9/20)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4955
Clearances
2410
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.361.17
Goals prevented
0.360.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Mullin P. (Pen),
  • 23', Brenan T. 🟨,
  • 29', Mabaya I. , Murray F. ,
  • 32', Cotter B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Cotter B. , Gordon K. ,
  • 54', Tickle S. 🟨,
  • 64', Brenan T. , Graham L. ,
  • 64', Mullin P. , Costelloe D. ,
  • 64', Grant C. , Hall T. ,
  • 64', Jones J. , Dennis M. ,
  • 68', Murray F. 🟨,
  • 73', Bennetts K. , Kouhyar Q. ,
  • 74', Wright C. , McHugh H. ,
  • 75', Asamoah M. , Saydee C. ,
  • 83', Weir J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wigan Athletic
48%
Draw
27.6%
Notts County
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 28.7% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 28% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Wigan Athletic - Notts County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (2.13)
    3.07
    (3.27)
    3.47
    (3.42)
    18%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Wigan Athletic - Notts County?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wigan (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Wigan Athletic will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wigan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Notts County has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Wigan has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Wigan is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Wigan Athletic
    Latest results of Notts County
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    10ByeLeeds
    11GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    12ByeManchester Utd
    13BournemouthBye
    14ByeBrentford
    16ByeAston Villa
    17SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    18PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    20ByeNottingham
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25NewcastleBye
    27StokeWalsall1 : 0
    28BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    29TottenhamBye
    31AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    32MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    33BarrowPreston0 : 1
    34WrexhamHull4 : 3
    35PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    36GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    37BurnleyBye
    38West BromDerby1 : 2
    39CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    40CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    41LiverpoolBye
    43WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    44NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    45Crystal PalaceBye
    47NewportMillwall0 : 1
    48CoventryLuton1 : 0
    49WolvesBye
    50ByeWest Ham
    51EvertonBye
    52ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    53TranmereBurton1 : 2
    54HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    56ByeChelsea
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    6GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    7BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    8ByeAston Villa
    9SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    10ByeNottingham
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13NewcastleBye
    14StokeBradford City0 : 3
    15TottenhamBye
    16AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    17PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    18ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    19BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    20CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    21LiverpoolBye
    22NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    23Crystal PalaceBye
    24MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    25WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    26EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    27BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    28ByeChelsea
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    4BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    5SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    6HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    7NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    8TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    9WrexhamReading2 : 0
    10BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    11LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    12Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    13WolvesEverton2 : 0
    14LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton
    2GrimsbyBrentford
    3SwanseaManchester City
    4NewcastleTottenham
    5WrexhamCardiff
    6LiverpoolCrystal Palace
    7WolvesChelsea
    8WycombeFulham
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