Wigan Athletic vs Notts County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Wigan Athletic - Notts County
Result
1:0
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
Wigan Athletic - Notts County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.52
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
77% (236/308)86% (481/557)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.170.36
Total shots
910
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1520
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
77% (236/308)86% (481/557)
Long passes
29% (17/58)50% (22/44)
Passes in final third
49% (33/67)70% (71/102)
Crosses
11% (1/9)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.44
Throw-ins
1821
Fouls
1511
Tackles
45% (9/20)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4955
Clearances
2410
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.361.17
Goals prevented
0.360.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Mullin P. (Pen),
  • 23', Brenan T. 🟨,
  • 29', Mabaya I. , Murray F. ,
  • 32', Cotter B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Cotter B. , Gordon K. ,
  • 54', Tickle S. 🟨,
  • 64', Brenan T. , Graham L. ,
  • 64', Mullin P. , Costelloe D. ,
  • 64', Grant C. , Hall T. ,
  • 64', Jones J. , Dennis M. ,
  • 68', Murray F. 🟨,
  • 73', Bennetts K. , Kouhyar Q. ,
  • 74', Wright C. , McHugh H. ,
  • 75', Asamoah M. , Saydee C. ,
  • 83', Weir J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wigan Athletic
48%
Draw
27.6%
Notts County
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 28.7% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 28% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Wigan Athletic - Notts County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (2.13)
    3.07
    (3.27)
    3.47
    (3.42)
    18%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Wigan Athletic - Notts County?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wigan (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Wigan Athletic will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wigan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Notts County has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Wigan has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Wigan is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Wigan Athletic
    Latest results of Notts County
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    6PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    8ByeNottingham
    9TranmereBurton1 : 2
    10HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    12ByeChelsea
    13TottenhamBye
    15AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    16MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    17BournemouthBye
    18ByeBrentford
    20ByeAston Villa
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29NewcastleBye
    31StokeWalsall1 : 0
    32BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    33BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    34ByeLeeds
    35GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    36ByeManchester Utd
    37WolvesBye
    38ByeWest Ham
    39EvertonBye
    40ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    43NewportMillwall0 : 1
    44CoventryLuton1 : 0
    45BurnleyBye
    46West BromDerby1 : 2
    47CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    48CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    49BarrowPreston0 : 1
    50WrexhamHull4 : 3
    51PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    52GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    53WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    54Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    55BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    56Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    57BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    58SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    59Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    60ByeBrighton
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    4ByeNottingham
    5BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    6ByeChelsea
    7TottenhamBye
    8AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    9BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    10ByeAston Villa
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15NewcastleBye
    16StokeBradford City0 : 3
    17Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    18GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    19WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    20EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    23BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    24CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    25PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    26ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    27WiganStockport County1 : 0
    28BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    29BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    30Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal
    2SwanseaNottingham
    3LincolnChelsea
    4TottenhamDoncaster
    5BrentfordAston Villa
    6HuddersfieldManchester City
    7LiverpoolSouthampton
    8NewcastleBradford City
    9Sheffield WedGrimsby
    10WolvesEverton
    11Crystal PalaceMillwall
    12BurnleyCardiff
    13WrexhamReading
    14WiganWycombe
    15BarnsleyBrighton
    16FulhamCambridge Utd
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