Wigan Athletic vs Milton Keynes Dons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Wigan Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons
Result
3:1
02/09/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 4
  • Referee: Howard P. (Eng)
Wigan Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.352.81
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
1918
Shots on target
64
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
55
Passes
78% (264/338)79% (322/406)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.352.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.352.35
Total shots
1918
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
78
Blocked shots
66
Shots inside the box
1212
Shots outside the box
76
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1731
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1111
Passes
78% (264/338)79% (322/406)
Long passes
45% (21/47)49% (34/69)
Passes in final third
75% (84/112)58% (67/115)
Crosses
20% (5/25)44% (11/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.791.77
Throw ins
2816
Fouls
1111
Tackles
47% (7/15)85% (11/13)
Duels won
4051
Clearances
2925
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
2.350.35
Goals prevented
1.35-2.65
Goal kicks
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Burns F. 🟨,
  • 18', Sanders J. 🟨,
  • 22', Harris L. , Walsh R. ,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Weir J. , Power M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Sanders J. , Ekpiteta M. ,
  • 46', Wiles B. , Gilbey A. ,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Power M. ,
  • 62', Gilbey A. 🟨,
  • 64', Barnett R. , Silvera S. ,
  • 64', Barlaser D. , Crowley D. ,
  • 64', Nombe S. , Collins A. ,
  • 66', Burns F. , Mellish J. ,
  • 66', Gray C. , Barrett C. ,
  • 72', Costelloe D. 🟨,
  • 74', Costelloe D. , Burrowes B. ,
  • 74', 3 - 0, Weir J. , Burrowes B. (A),
  • 82', 3 - 1, Collins A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wigan Athletic
38.6%
Draw
27.1%
Milton Keynes Dons
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 27.8% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 27.9% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wigan Athletic's performance.
  • Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wigan Athletic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Wigan Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.83)
    3.46
    (3.36)
    2.75
    (2.38)
    6.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Wigan Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons?
    • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Wigan: 56%91.8%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • AH 0, 1st Half - MK Dons (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 2.
    • Wigan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Wigan: Saydee C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 2.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wigan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 3:1.5).
    Latest results of Wigan Athletic
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League One Table
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sheffield Wed641113:6713
    2Huddersfield633010:4612
    3Bradford City64026:4212
    4Cambridge Utd632111:9211
    5Oxford Utd531112:6610
    6Plymouth631210:8210
    7AFC Wimbledon63125:7-210
    8Stockport County630316:1069
    9Stevenage623111:749
    10Blackpool622211:928
    11Burton622210:1008
    12Luton622212:13-18
    13Leicester62228:10-28
    14Reading521212:757
    15Leyton Orient621312:937
    16Notts County61417:707
    17Mansfield62138:11-37
    18Barnsley62136:11-57
    19Wycombe613210:14-46
    20MK Dons60518:10-25
    21Peterborough61234:10-65
    22Bromley61236:17-115
    23Wigan61145:11-64
    24Doncaster60336:9-33

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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