Widzew Łódź vs Raków Częstochowa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

28/09/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Widzewa Łódź (Lodz).

: Ekstraklasa - Round 10
Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.47	1.33
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
6	21
Shots on target
1	6
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
80% (278/347)	89% (490/551)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.47	1.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.02	0.81
Total shots
6	21
Shots on target
1	6
Shots off target
2	10
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
3	13
Shots outside the Box
3	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
12	32
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
17	11
Passes
80% (278/347)	89% (490/551)
Long passes
33% (16/48)	53% (25/47)
Passes in final third
59% (41/69)	80% (141/177)
Crosses
17% (1/6)	38% (9/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.17	1.04
Throw-ins
6	15
Fouls
11	17
Tackles
56% (9/16)	43% (6/14)
Duels won
52	45
Clearances
27	14
Interceptions
5	8
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.81	0.02
Goals prevented
-0.19	-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Visus R. 🟨,
22', Racovitan B. 🟨,
31', Selahi L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shehu J. ↓, Czyz S. ↑,
58', Zeqiri A. ↓, Bergier S. ↑,
58', Selahi L. ↓, Teklic T. ↑,
59', Akere S. ↓, Baena Perez A. ↑,
63', Adriano 🟨,
71', Pienko T. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
72', Brunes J. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
79', Therkildsen P. ↓, Kozlovsky S. ↑,
79', Lopez I. ↓, Struski K. ↑,
90', Tudor F. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 1, Diaby-Fadiga L. ⚽,
90+4', Diaby-Fadiga L. 🟨,
90+5', Ameyaw M. ↓, Konstantopoulos A. ↑,
90+5', Kozlovsky S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Widzew Łódź
34.4%

Draw
28.8%

Raków Częstochowa
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.5%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

28.1%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Widzew Łódź have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.7)	3.25 (3.25)	2.57 ↑ (2.5)	5.9% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Raków Częstochowa will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Raków may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Widzew won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Widzew Łódź won against Raków Częstochowa?

Widzew Łódź has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Widzew Łódź?

Raków Częstochowa has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:

24.05.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Widzew Łódź 2:1

30.11.2024 Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa 2:3

27.04.2024 Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa 0:1

29.10.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Widzew Łódź 1:1

16.04.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Widzew Łódź 2:0

Latest results of Widzew Łódź

24.09.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź 2:3 ✺

21.09.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Widzew Łódź 3:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Widzew Łódź - Arka Gdynia 2:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź 2:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Widzew Łódź - Pogoń Szczecin 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Raków Częstochowa

24.09.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań 2:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw 1:1 ✺

15.09.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Górnik Zabrze 0:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 2:0 ✺

28.08.2025 Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa 1:2 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Jagiellonia	11	7	3	1	23:13	10	24
2	Gornik Zabrze	12	7	2	3	19:10	9	23
3	Cracovia	11	6	3	2	20:12	8	21
4	Korona Kielce	12	5	4	3	16:11	5	19
5	Wisla Plock	10	5	3	2	12:7	5	18
6	Lech Poznan	10	5	3	2	18:16	2	18
7	Widzew Lodz	12	5	1	6	20:17	3	16
8	Legia	10	4	3	3	13:9	4	15
9	Radomiak Radom	12	4	3	5	22:22	0	15
10	Rakow	11	4	2	5	12:15	-3	14
11	Zaglebie	10	3	4	3	21:16	5	13
12	Pogon Szczecin	11	4	1	6	16:20	-4	13
13	Arka Gdynia	12	3	3	6	7:19	-12	12
14	GKS Katowice	12	3	2	7	16:24	-8	11
15	Motor Lublin	11	2	5	4	13:21	-8	11
16	Termalica B-B	11	2	3	6	15:21	-6	9
17	Piast Gliwice	9	1	4	4	8:11	-3	7
18	Lechia Gdansk	11	3	3	5	19:26	-7	7

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz