Western United vs Adelaide United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Australian A-League Western United - Adelaide United
Result
3:2
09/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : A-League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: King A. (Aus)
Western United - Adelaide United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.68
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
76% (320/419)76% (352/464)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.612.27
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2721
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
616
Passes
76% (320/419)76% (352/464)
Long passes
35% (17/48)18% (11/60)
Passes in final third
63% (72/115)55% (65/118)
Crosses
12% (2/17)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.22
Throw-ins
2027
Fouls
166
Tackles
40% (10/25)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5359
Clearances
3244
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
2.271.61
Goals prevented
0.57-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Jovanovic L. , Lopez J. (A),
  • 14', Donachie J. , Russell T. ,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Vriends B. (Own goal),
  • 31', 2 - 1, Botic N. , Danzaki R. (A),
  • 34', Leonard D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', 3 - 1, Botic N. , Danzaki R. (A),
  • 63', Mauk S. 🟨,
  • 66', Grimaldi M. , Walatee A. ,
  • 66', Ruhs M. , Lavale O. ,
  • 70', Vriends B. , Barnett J. ,
  • 70', Lopez J. , Dukuly Y. ,
  • 73', Danzaki R. 🟨,
  • 77', Botic N. , Ibusuki H. ,
  • 77', Danzaki R. , Najjarine R. ,
  • 79', 3 - 2, Mauk S. , Pierias D. (A),
  • 79', Clough Z. , Crawford H. ,
  • 79', Alagich E. , Yull J. ,
  • 86', Kikianis P. 🟨,
  • 88', Jovanovic L. , Elsey J. ,
  • 89', Ibusuki H. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Najjarine R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Western United
47.2%
Draw
24.5%
Adelaide United
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 22.4% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 22.1% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Western United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western United's form might have worsened.
  • Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Western United - Adelaide United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.79)
    3.9
    (4.24)
    3.39
    (3.83)
    5.1%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Western United - Adelaide United?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western United won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Western United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Western United is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Western United won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Western United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.9:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Western United - Adelaide United were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Western United - Adelaide United 3:0
    09.11.2024 Adelaide United - Western United 2:1
    16.04.2024 Western United - Adelaide United 3:3
    29.03.2024 Adelaide United - Western United 4:1
    26.11.2023 Western United - Adelaide United 1:3
    Latest results of Western United
    Latest results of Adelaide United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Auckland FC (1)Bye
    2WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2
    3Melbourne City (2)Bye
    4Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0
    2Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)3 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Western United - Adelaide United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaParamount+
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV, SPOTV Now
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 4
    usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
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