Freiburg vs Werder Bremen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Women Freiburg - Werder Bremen
Result
3:2
11/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga Women - Round 22
  • Referee: Hussein R. (Ger)
Freiburg - Werder Bremen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.182.11
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
76% (312/412)67% (201/301)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.182.11
xG on target (xGOT)
2.422.01
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1818
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
76% (312/412)67% (201/301)
Long passes
44% (27/62)32% (16/50)
Passes in final third
48% (34/71)55% (57/103)
Crosses
54% (7/13)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.400.74
Throw-ins
2338
Fouls
1313
Tackles
67% (12/18)60% (15/25)
Duels won
4245
Clearances
2619
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.012.42
Goals prevented
0.01-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Muhlhaus L. , Sternad M. (A),
  • 12', Kayikci H. , Folmli S. ,
  • 14', 1 - 1, Steuerwald S. , Vobian S. (A),
  • 35', Stierli J. 🟨,
  • 40', 2 - 1, Folmli S. , Zicai C. (A),
  • 44', Dieckmann R. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Nemeth H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Sternad M. , Wieder V. ,
  • 64', Steuerwald S. , Axtmann A. ,
  • 64', Borggrafe R. , Nuding L. ,
  • 64', Schasching A. , Egli L. ,
  • 67', Karich A. 🟨,
  • 68', Nemeth H. , Papai E. ,
  • 74', 2 - 2, Muhlhaus L. (Pen),
  • 75', Weidauer S. , Walkling R. ,
  • 75', Beck S. , Wirtz J. ,
  • 78', Zicai C. , Campbell E. ,
  • 79', Arfaoui A. , Wichmann R. ,
  • 87', 3 - 2, Campbell E. , Folmli S. (A),
  • 89', Muhlhaus L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Freiburg
48%
Draw
25.6%
Werder Bremen
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 22.7% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8% 22.1% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiburg's form might have worsened.
  • Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Freiburg - Werder Bremen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.68)
    3.6
    (4.01)
    3.51
    (3.95)
    8.2%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Freiburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Freiburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:11. (average 1.9:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Werder Bremen were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 0:3
    17.02.2024 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 0:3
    08.10.2023 Freiburg - Werder Bremen 2:1
    07.05.2023 Freiburg - Werder Bremen 1:1
    26.11.2022 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 1:2
    Latest results of Freiburg
    02.05.2025 SGS Essen - Freiburg 0:0
    27.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Freiburg 3:1
    13.04.2025 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 1:1
    30.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Freiburg 1:1
    08.03.2025 Turbine Potsdam - Freiburg 0:1
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    German Bundesliga Women Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich W22192156:134359
    2Wolfsburg W22163357:183951
    3Eintracht Frankfurt W22162468:224650
    4Bayer Leverkusen W22134538:211743
    5Freiburg W22115634:31338
    6Hoffenheim W221201049:301936
    7Werder Bremen W22921128:39-1129
    8RB Leipzig W22831130:40-1027
    9SGS Essen W22551221:30-920
    10Koln W22351418:51-3314
    11Jena W2224167:43-3610
    12Potsdam W2201215:73-681

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women

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