Wellington Phoenix vs Western United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Australian A-League Women Wellington Phoenix - Western United
Result
1:1
20/04/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : A-League Women - Round 23
  • Referee: Rattray B. (Nzl)
Wellington Phoenix - Western United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.64
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
312
Passes
73% (281/385)74% (279/376)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.261.58
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
39
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
310
Hit the Woodwork
12
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
312
Touches in opposition box
1231
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
811
Passes
73% (281/385)74% (279/376)
Long passes
37% (21/57)33% (15/46)
Passes in final third
56% (56/100)60% (87/146)
Crosses
21% (3/14)26% (7/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.381.97
Fouls
118
Tackles
63% (19/30)89% (17/19)
Duels won
5243
Clearances Total
2614
Interceptions
1015
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
1.581.26
Goals prevented
0.510.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Berryhill C. , Medwin A. ,
  • 46', Kelly A. , Tanaka M. ,
  • 63', Taranto M. 🟨,
  • 63', McCutcheon M. 🟨,
  • 65', McCutcheon M. , Brazendale D. ,
  • 65', Fergusson O. , Whinham A. ,
  • 69', Taranto M. , De Domizio K. ,
  • 70', Jaber T. 🟨,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Eggesvik S. , Maher G. (A),
  • 78', Eggesvik S. , Ibarguen S. ,
  • 79', Longo A. , Ingham O. ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Main E. , Elliott M. (A),
  • 85', Dias C. , Neary B. ,
  • 89', Medwin A. , Hieda K. ,

Chances of winning


Wellington Phoenix
34.1%
Draw
25.5%
Western United
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 25.5% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 24.8% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Wellington Phoenix - Western United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.51)
    3.59
    (3.56)
    2.27
    (2.38)
    9.1%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Western United is Qualified for A~League Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Wellington is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Western United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Western United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wellington won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:13 (average 1.2:2.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wellington won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 2:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Western United were as follows:
    01.11.2024 Western United - Wellington Phoenix 4:2
    18.02.2024 Western United - Wellington Phoenix 3:0
    11.11.2023 Wellington Phoenix - Western United 3:1
    06.01.2023 Western United - Wellington Phoenix 1:0
    25.11.2022 Wellington Phoenix - Western United 1:4
    Latest results of Western United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Bye
    2Adelaide W (3)Western United W (6)1 : 0
    3Melbourne City W (1)Bye
    4Central Coast Mariners W (4)Canberra W (5)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Adelaide W (3)3 : 1, 3 : 1
    2Melbourne City W (1)Central Coast Mariners W (4)0 : 1, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Central Coast Mariners W (4)1 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Wellington Phoenix - Western United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustralia10 Play, Paramount+
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
    usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
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