Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Australian A-League Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers
Result
2:2
29/03/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : A-League - Round 24
  • Referee: Bavcar A. (Aus)
Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.692.22
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1422
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
81% (346/425)85% (433/508)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.692.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.673.23
Total shots
1422
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
611
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
713
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2237
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
108
Passes
81% (346/425)85% (433/508)
Long passes
38% (21/55)59% (27/46)
Passes in final third
74% (87/118)78% (109/140)
Crosses
24% (4/17)32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.612.58
Fouls
810
Tackles
64% (14/22)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5154
Clearances Total
3028
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
3.231.67
Goals prevented
1.23-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Piper C. , Ishige H. (A),
  • 36', 1 - 1, Kraev B. , Milanovic N. (A),
  • 44', Geraldes F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Clisby J. , Gersbach A. ,
  • 62', Sapsford Z. , Antonsson M. ,
  • 67', Nagasawa K. , Conchie F. ,
  • 68', Brooke-Smith L. , Walker N. ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Geraldes F. , Barbarouses K. (A),
  • 75', Priestman O. , Pelekanos D. ,
  • 75', Brillante J. , Mata J. ,
  • 84', Borrello B. 🟨,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Milanovic N. , Borrello B. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wellington Phoenix
21.8%
Draw
22.4%
Western Sydney Wanderers
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 24% 50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 23.9% 50.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western Sydney Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western Sydney Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.35
    (3.68)
    4.21
    (3.95)
    1.7
    (1.88)
    5.4%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wellington won 1.
    • Wellington has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Western Sydney is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently Wellington have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Western Sydney is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Wellington: Colakovski S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Western Sydney: Jeong Tae-Wook (Ankle Injury) Scicluna D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wellington: Hughes I. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Wellington won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 26:36 (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wellington won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix 4:1
    22.12.2023 Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:0
    22.10.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix 0:0
    21.04.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix 4:0
    10.12.2022 Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers 1:1
    Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Auckland FC (1)Bye
    2WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2
    3Melbourne City (2)Bye
    4Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0
    2Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)3 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiaSPOTV 2 Asia
    australiaAustraliaParamount+
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV 2, SPOTV Now
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 4
    usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
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