Sydney FC vs Wellington Phoenix: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Australian A-League Women Sydney FC - Wellington Phoenix
Result
2:1
15/03/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: A-League Women - Round 19
  • Referee: Ryan M. (Aus)
Sydney FC - Wellington Phoenix - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.40
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
919
Shots on Goal
29
Shots off Goal
36
Blocked Shots
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
28
Shots inside the Box
712
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
80
Free Kicks
88
Offsides
32
Fouls
88
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
3844
Touches in the Opposition Box
1724
Passes
60% (197/327)70% (323/460)
Passes in the final third
51% (67/131)56% (81/145)
Crosses
22% (2/9)22% (6/27)
Tackles
74% (28/38)78% (21/27)
Clearances Total
2915
Interceptions
1416

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+4', 1 - 0, Caspers M. , Tallon-Henniker C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Jaber T. 🟨,
  • 65', Brazendale D. , McMeeken Z. ,
  • 65', Whinham A. , Jale G. ,
  • 70', Tallon-Henniker C. , Connors S. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Elliott M. , Longo A. (A),
  • 81', Johnson L. , Farrow M. ,
  • 81', Caspers M. , Ibini P. ,
  • 83', Elliott M. , Tanaka M. ,
  • 85', Jaber T. 🟥,
  • 87', Fergusson O. , Ingham O. ,
  • 90+8', 2 - 1, Ibini P. , Lemon A. (A),

Chances of winning


Sydney FC
47.4%
Draw
26.6%
Wellington Phoenix
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 25.7% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 25% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney FC than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Sydney FC - Wellington Phoenix Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.89)
    3.47
    (3.56)
    3.56
    (3.55)
    8.2%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sydney won 3.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Sydney will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Sydney won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:5 (average 2:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sydney won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney FC - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Sydney FC 2:0
    16.03.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Sydney FC 2:4
    29.12.2023 Sydney FC - Wellington Phoenix 1:0
    10.03.2023 Sydney FC - Wellington Phoenix 0:1
    25.02.2023 Wellington Phoenix - Sydney FC 0:1
    Latest results of Sydney FC
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Bye
    2Adelaide W (3)Western United W (6)1 : 0
    3Melbourne City W (1)Bye
    4Central Coast Mariners W (4)Canberra W (5)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Adelaide W (3)3 : 1, 3 : 1
    2Melbourne City W (1)Central Coast Mariners W (4)0 : 1, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Central Coast Mariners W (4)1 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Sydney FC - Wellington Phoenix?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustralia10 Play, Paramount+
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
    usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
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