Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Australian A-League Women Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City
Result
0:1
29/03/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : A-League Women - Round 21
  • Referee: Mackie B. (Aus)
Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.502.38
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
60% (189/316)76% (353/464)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.502.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.222.04
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1428
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
611
Passes
60% (189/316)76% (353/464)
Long passes
31% (20/65)43% (26/60)
Passes in final third
50% (51/101)61% (74/122)
Crosses
50% (4/8)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.550.87
Fouls
116
Tackles
76% (22/29)72% (18/25)
Duels won
4858
Clearances Total
339
Interceptions
1413
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.041.22
Goals prevented
1.041.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, McNamara H. , Bosch L. (A),
  • 39', Jaber T. 🟨,
  • 40', Speckmaier M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Jaber T. , McMeeken Z. ,
  • 48', Wall L. 🟨,
  • 55', McNamara H. (Pen),
  • 71', McNamara H. , Henry B. ,
  • 72', Kelly A. , Whinham A. ,
  • 72', Main E. , Tanaka M. ,
  • 79', Speckmaier M. , McMahon S. ,
  • 90+3', Apostolakis A. , Vlajnic T. ,
  • 90+3', McKenna L. , Pollicina R. ,

Chances of winning


Wellington Phoenix
20.3%
Draw
22.8%
Melbourne City
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.8% 23.2% 55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3% 22.7% 56.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.49
    (4.22)
    4
    (3.95)
    1.61
    (1.67)
    9.6%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Wellington is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Melbourne City in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Melbourne City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Melbourne City is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wellington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:13 (average 0.6:2.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wellington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City were as follows:
    28.12.2024 Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix 2:1
    20.01.2024 Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix 2:1
    14.10.2023 Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City 0:1
    19.11.2022 Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City 1:4
    Latest results of Melbourne City
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne City W (1)Bye
    2Central Coast Mariners W (4)Canberra W (5)2 : 1
    3Melbourne Victory W (2)Bye
    4Adelaide W (3)Western United W (6)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne City W (1)Central Coast Mariners W (4)2 : 2
    2Melbourne Victory W (2)Adelaide W (3)3 : 1, 3 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1Melbourne Victory W (2)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustralia10 Play, Paramount+
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
    usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
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