Keilor Thunder vs Waverley Falcons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Basketball Australian NBL1 South Keilor Thunder - Waverley Falcons
Result
75:70
17/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder - Waverley Falcons - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Keilor Thunder
35.5%
Waverley Falcons
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 58.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Keilor Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Waverley Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keilor Thunder than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keilor Thunder, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waverley Falcons than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Waverley Falcons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Keilor Thunder - Waverley Falcons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.41)

    1.43
    (1.47)
    8.2%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 183.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • Keilor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Waverley is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Waverley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Waverley could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Keilor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 273:255. (average 91:85).
    • Including home match between the teams, Keilor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 107:101.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Keilor Thunder - Waverley Falcons were as follows:
    28.04.2024 Keilor Thunder - Waverley Falcons 107:101
    28.05.2023 Waverley Falcons - Keilor Thunder 77:92
    Latest results of Keilor Thunder
    Latest results of Waverley Falcons
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Knox (1)Eltham (4)72 : 67
    4Melbourne Tigers (6)Ballarat (7)89 : 77
    5Mt Gambier (2)Kilsyth (3)97 : 61
    8Sandringham Sabres (5)Hobart Chargers (8)111 : 98

    Quarter-finals
    1Knox (1)Bye
    2Kilsyth (3)Melbourne Tigers (6)86 : 84
    3Mt Gambier (2)Bye
    4Eltham (4)Sandringham Sabres (5)75 : 93

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1Melbourne Tigers (6)
    2TBD #3Sandringham Sabres (5)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    X
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