Watford vs Southampton: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Championship Watford - Southampton
Result
2:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 4
  • Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
Watford - Southampton - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.63
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
81% (320/395)78% (260/335)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.512.01
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1714
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
81% (320/395)78% (260/335)
Long passes
46% (31/68)26% (12/46)
Passes in final third
60% (56/93)66% (71/108)
Crosses
10% (2/20)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.581.10
Throw-ins
1121
Fouls
1412
Tackles
64% (7/11)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4244
Clearances
2726
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.011.51
Goals prevented
0.01-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Archer C. , Wood N. (A),
  • 12', Manning R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 57', Kayembe E. , Vata R. ,
  • 57', Alleyne M. , Baah K. ,
  • 64', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Baah K. , Vata R. (A),
  • 68', Charles S. 🟨,
  • 75', Irankunda N. 🟨,
  • 76', Robinson J. , Downs D. ,
  • 76', Archer C. , Armstrong A. ,
  • 76', Fraser R. , Matsuki K. ,
  • 76', Abankwah J. 🟨,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Manning R. ,
  • 80', Matsuki K. 🟨,
  • 81', 2 - 2, Irankunda N. ,
  • 83', Irankunda N. , Doumbia M. ,
  • 83', Kjerrumgaard L. , Semedo V. ,
  • 84', Azaz F. , Stewart R. ,
  • 86', Downs D. 🟨,
  • 88', Roerslev Rasmussen M. , Edwards R. ,
  • 90+2', Ngakia J. , Andrews R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Watford
30.3%
Draw
28.1%
Southampton
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 27.8% 43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 27.8% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Watford - Southampton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.26
    (3.27)
    3.45
    (3.4)
    2.32
    (2.19)
    2.8%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Watford - Southampton?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). S`hampton will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 13.8%69.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Watford (votes: 1 - 50%). S`hampton (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 1.
    • Watford has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • S`hampton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Watford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury) Louza I. (Red Card) Pollock M. (Hamstring Injury) Wiley C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Aribo J. (Inactive) Bree J. (Injury) Smallbone W. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Watford: Alleyne M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Edozie S. (Inactive) Welington (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Southampton were as follows:
    13.04.2024 Southampton - Watford 3:2
    06.02.2024 Southampton - Watford 3:0
    28.01.2024 Watford - Southampton 1:1
    09.12.2023 Watford - Southampton 1:1
    Latest results of Watford
    Latest results of Southampton
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry954027:72019
    2Middlesbrough953112:6618
    3Leicester944113:8516
    4Preston944111:7416
    5Stoke943211:6515
    6QPR943213:14-115
    7West Brom94239:10-114
    8Millwall94239:12-314
    9Ipswich834115:8713
    10Bristol City934215:10513
    11Watford933311:11012
    12Swansea933310:10012
    13Charlton93338:8012
    14Portsmouth93338:9-112
    15Hull933314:16-212
    16Birmingham93338:11-312
    17Southampton925211:12-111
    18Wrexham924314:15-110
    19Norwich922511:14-38
    20Derby915311:15-48
    21Blackburn82157:11-47
    22Oxford Utd913510:13-36
    23Sheffield Wed91358:20-126
    24Sheffield Utd91083:16-133

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Which TV channels are streaming of Watford - Southampton?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
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