Shelbourne vs Waterford United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Irish Premier Division Shelbourne - Waterford United
Result
2:1
26/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier Division - Round 32
Shelbourne - Waterford United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.151.02
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
80% (409/510)60% (177/293)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
2.151.02
xG on target (xGOT)
1.981.10
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2629
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
158
Passes
80% (409/510)60% (177/293)
Long passes
47% (42/90)38% (36/96)
Passes in final third
73% (105/144)48% (67/139)
Crosses
26% (5/19)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.520.96
Throw-ins
2620
Fouls
815
Tackles
75% (9/12)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5846
Clearances
3916
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.101.98
Goals prevented
0.10-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Coote A. , McInroy K. (A),
  • 17', Glenfield S. 🟨,
  • 34', Norris J. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Noonan C. , Dempsey J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Glenfield S. , Lonergan T. ,
  • 54', Dempsey J. 🟨,
  • 59', Mbeng M. , Kelly D. ,
  • 60', Dempsey J. , White K. ,
  • 60', Norris J. , Caffrey E. ,
  • 68', Martin J. , Odubeko A. ,
  • 68', Lunney J. , Henry-Francis J. ,
  • 73', Rossiter J. 🟨,
  • 75', Miles J. , Mansfield R. ,
  • 76', McInroy K. , Boyd S. ,
  • 77', Burke R. 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Wood H. (Pen),
  • 90', Odubeko A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Bone S. , Gannon S. ,
  • 90+1', Horton G. , Faal M. ,

Chances of winning


Shelbourne
68.7%
Draw
19.9%
Waterford United
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 23.6% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 23.1% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shelbourne's performance.
  • Waterford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waterford United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shelbourne that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford United than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waterford United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Shelbourne - Waterford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.62)
    5
    (3.95)
    9.16
    (4.95)
    2.8%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Shelbourne - Waterford United?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shelbourne will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Waterford will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shelbourne: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 3.
    • Shelbourne is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Waterford has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Shelbourne is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Shelbourne: Kearns C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shelbourne: Wilson T. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shelbourne won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shelbourne - Waterford United were as follows:
    23.06.2025 Waterford United - Shelbourne 2:2
    05.05.2025 Shelbourne - Waterford United 0:1
    21.02.2025 Waterford United - Shelbourne 0:1
    18.10.2024 Shelbourne - Waterford United 3:1
    13.06.2024 Waterford United - Shelbourne 0:1
    Latest results of Shelbourne
    19.09.2025 Derry City - Shelbourne 1:1
    07.09.2025 Shelbourne - Galway United 1:0
    28.08.2025 Linfield - Shelbourne 0:2
    22.08.2025 Shamrock Rovers - Shelbourne Postponed
    Latest results of Waterford United
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shamrock Rovers31189453:272663
    2Derry City32149946:37951
    3Bohemians321551242:33950
    4Drogheda321114735:31447
    5St. Patricks311210940:301046
    6Shelbourne311113739:33646
    7Galway328101433:41-834
    8Sligo Rovers31971537:48-1134
    9Waterford321041836:56-2034
    10Cork City324111731:56-2523

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Shelbourne - Waterford United?
    It is being streamed on channel
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