Waterford United vs Shelbourne: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Irish Premier Division Waterford United - Shelbourne
Result
2:2
23/06/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier Division - Round 21
  • Referee: Houlihan M. (Irl)
Waterford United - Shelbourne - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.272.52
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
621
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
69% (234/339)80% (382/479)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.272.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.402.33
Total shots
621
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
19
Shots inside the Box
616
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1636
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
69% (234/339)80% (382/479)
Long passes
23% (16/71)41% (34/82)
Passes in final third
41% (41/99)68% (97/142)
Crosses
9% (1/11)29% (8/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.221.20
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
1210
Tackles
78% (7/9)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3851
Clearances
4735
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.331.40
Goals prevented
0.33-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Wood H. , Odubeko A. (A),
  • 8', 1 - 1, Horton G. ,
  • 14', Glenfield S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Amond P. ,
  • 49', 2 - 2, Wood H. ,
  • 56', Wilson T. 🟨,
  • 61', Dempsey J. , Boyle A. ,
  • 62', Wilson T. , Norris J. ,
  • 62', Caffrey E. , Kelly D. ,
  • 72', Glenfield S. , McMenamy D. ,
  • 72', Wood H. 🟨,
  • 74', Coote A. , Boyd S. ,
  • 74', Coyle M. , Chapman E. ,
  • 76', Olayinka J. 🟨,
  • 83', Horton G. , McCormack B. ,
  • 84', McDonald R. , White K. ,
  • 85', Odubeko A. , Martin J. ,
  • 90+2', Boyle A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Waterford United
35.6%
Draw
28.6%
Shelbourne
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 27.6% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 26.6% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Waterford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterford United than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shelbourne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Waterford United - Shelbourne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.85)
    3.24
    (3.35)
    2.59
    (2.33)
    7.5%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Waterford United - Shelbourne?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Waterford will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Shelbourne will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shelbourne: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Waterford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Waterford: Coyle T. (Hamstring Injury) Radkowski K. (Injury) Smith M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Shelbourne: Martin J. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waterford won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.7:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Waterford United - Shelbourne were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Shelbourne - Waterford United 0:1
    21.02.2025 Waterford United - Shelbourne 0:1
    18.10.2024 Shelbourne - Waterford United 3:1
    13.06.2024 Waterford United - Shelbourne 0:1
    17.05.2024 Shelbourne - Waterford United 1:0
    Latest results of Waterford United
    Latest results of Shelbourne
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shamrock Rovers24146442:212148
    2Derry City22114728:22637
    3Bohemians22121927:22537
    4Drogheda24811528:25335
    5Shelbourne24711627:26132
    6St. Patricks2487927:27031
    7Galway2278727:26129
    8Waterford22831124:35-1127
    9Sligo Rovers22541326:37-1119
    10Cork City22291123:38-1515

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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