Shelbourne vs Waterford United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

26/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Tolka Park (Dublin).

: Premier Division - Round 32

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.15	1.02
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
80% (409/510)	60% (177/293)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15	1.02
xG on target (xGOT)
1.98	1.10
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
11	8
Shots outside the Box
2	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
26	29
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	2
Free Kicks
15	8
Passes
80% (409/510)	60% (177/293)
Long passes
47% (42/90)	38% (36/96)
Passes in final third
73% (105/144)	48% (67/139)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.52	0.96
Throw-ins
26	20
Fouls
8	15
Tackles
75% (9/12)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
58	46
Clearances
39	16
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.10	1.98
Goals prevented
0.10	-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Coote A. ⚽, McInroy K. (A),
17', Glenfield S. 🟨,
34', Norris J. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Noonan C. ⚽, Dempsey J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Glenfield S. ↓, Lonergan T. ↑,
54', Dempsey J. 🟨,
59', Mbeng M. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
60', Dempsey J. ↓, White K. ↑,
60', Norris J. ↓, Caffrey E. ↑,
68', Martin J. ↓, Odubeko A. ↑,
68', Lunney J. ↓, Henry-Francis J. ↑,
73', Rossiter J. 🟨,
75', Miles J. ↓, Mansfield R. ↑,
76', McInroy K. ↓, Boyd S. ↑,
77', Burke R. 🟨,
79', 2 - 1, Wood H. (Pen),
90', Odubeko A. 🟨,
90+1', Bone S. ↓, Gannon S. ↑,
90+1', Horton G. ↓, Faal M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Shelbourne
68.7%

Draw
19.9%

Waterford United
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

23.6%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23.1%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shelbourne's performance.

Waterford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waterford United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shelbourne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford United than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waterford United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shelbourne - Waterford United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.62)	5 ↑ (3.95)	9.16 ↑ (4.95)	2.8% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Shelbourne - Waterford United?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shelbourne will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Waterford will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelbourne: 50.6% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 3.
Shelbourne is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Waterford has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Shelbourne is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Shelbourne: Kearns C. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Shelbourne: Wilson T. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Shelbourne won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Shelbourne won against Waterford United?

Shelbourne has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Waterford United won against Shelbourne?

Waterford United has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shelbourne - Waterford United were as follows:

23.06.2025 Waterford United - Shelbourne 2:2

05.05.2025 Shelbourne - Waterford United 0:1

21.02.2025 Waterford United - Shelbourne 0:1

18.10.2024 Shelbourne - Waterford United 3:1

13.06.2024 Waterford United - Shelbourne 0:1

Latest results of Shelbourne

22.09.2025 Drogheda United - Shelbourne 2:1 ✺

19.09.2025 Derry City - Shelbourne 1:1 ✺

07.09.2025 Shelbourne - Galway United 1:0 ✺

28.08.2025 Linfield - Shelbourne 0:2 ✺

21.08.2025 Shelbourne - Linfield 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Waterford United

22.09.2025 Waterford United - Shamrock Rovers 1:2 ✺

19.09.2025 Bohemians Dublin - Waterford United 2:1 ✺

29.08.2025 Cork City - Waterford United 2:0 ✺

22.08.2025 Waterford United - Sligo Rovers 1:2 ✺

15.08.2025 Cork City - Waterford United 2:1 ✺

Irish Premier Division Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	33	18	9	6	53:29	24	63
2	Derry City	34	16	9	9	49:38	11	57
3	Shelbourne	34	14	13	7	45:35	10	55
4	Bohemians	33	15	5	13	42:35	7	50
5	Drogheda	34	12	14	8	36:33	3	50
6	St. Patricks	33	13	10	10	41:31	10	49
7	Galway	33	9	10	14	35:41	-6	37
8	Sligo Rovers	34	10	7	17	39:52	-13	37
9	Waterford	34	11	4	19	39:58	-19	37
10	Cork City ✔	34	4	11	19	32:59	-27	23

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Premier Division (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Clinched Spots for Teams

Cork City is Relegated to Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Shelbourne - Waterford United?

It is being streamed on channel


Ireland	LOI TV