Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Baseball MLB Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals
Result
1:4
04/05/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLB
Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Hits
59
Errors
10
2B - double
03
3B - triple
00
Home Runs
11
Runs batted in
14
Left on base
77
Base on Balls
41
Strikeouts
138
Stolen bases
12
At bat
3135
Batting Average
0.1610.257

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cincinnati Reds
50.2%
Washington Nationals
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 48.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Washington Nationals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Nationals than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.82)

    1.93
    (2.03)
    3.8%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Washington will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%). Washington (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:5.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Washington has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Aguiar J. (Shoulder Injury) Antone T. (Elbow Injury) Candelario J. (Back Injury) Encarnacion-Strand C. (Back Injury) Gibaut I. (Shoulder Injury) Lowder R. (Forearm injury) Miley W. (Elbow Injury) Staumont J. (Injury) Williamson B. (Elbow Injury) Young A. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Washington: Cavalli C. (Elbow Injury) Chaparro A. (Abdominal strain) DeJong P. (Broken nose) Gray J. (Elbow Injury) Herz D. P. (Elbow Injury) Ribalta O. (Arm Injury) Thompson M. (Elbow Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Moll S. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 104:98. (average 5.2:4.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 53:60. (average 5.3:6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals 6:11
    02.05.2025 Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals 6:1
    21.07.2024 Washington Nationals - Cincinnati Reds 5:2
    20.07.2024 Washington Nationals - Cincinnati Reds 5:4
    19.07.2024 Washington Nationals - Cincinnati Reds 8:5
    MLB Table
    Main

    American League
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Tigers724626347:2630.639
    2New York Yankees694227370:2650.609
    3Houston Astros704030290:2520.571
    4Toronto Blue Jays703832298:3030.543
    5Tampa Bay Rays703832316:2630.543
    6Cleveland Guardians683533267:2860.515
    7Minnesota Twins703634294:2860.514
    8Seattle Mariners683434298:3070.500
    9Boston Red Sox723636351:3310.500
    10Texas Rangers713536263:2370.493
    11Kansas City Royals713437235:2620.479
    12Los Angeles Angels693336290:3430.478
    13Baltimore Orioles692940268:3500.420
    14Athletics722844309:4230.389
    15Chicago White Sox712348247:3080.324


    National League
    PlWLPCT
    1New York Mets714526328:2390.634
    2Chicago Cubs714328382:2780.606
    3Los Angeles Dodgers704129383:3190.586
    4Philadelphia Phillies704129323:2970.586
    5San Francisco Giants704129300:2480.586
    6San Diego Padres683830280:2600.559
    7Milwaukee Brewers723834313:2930.528
    8St.Louis Cardinals713734326:3070.521
    9Arizona Diamondbacks693534351:3510.507
    10Cincinnati Reds713635327:2900.507
    11Atlanta Braves693138289:2680.449
    12Washington Nationals703040294:3550.429
    13Pittsburgh Pirates722943230:2830.403
    14Miami Marlins682741279:3690.397
    15Colorado Rockies701357229:4410.186

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