Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Baseball MLB Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals
Result
1:4
04/05/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLB
Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Hits
59
Errors
10
2B - double
03
3B - triple
00
Home Runs
11
Runs batted in
14
Left on base
77
Base on Balls
41
Strikeouts
138
Stolen bases
12
At bat
3135
Batting Average
0.1610.257

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cincinnati Reds
50.2%
Washington Nationals
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 48.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Washington Nationals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Nationals than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.82)

    1.93
    (2.03)
    3.8%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Washington will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%). Washington (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:5.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Washington has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Aguiar J. (Shoulder Injury) Antone T. (Elbow Injury) Candelario J. (Back Injury) Encarnacion-Strand C. (Back Injury) Gibaut I. (Shoulder Injury) Lowder R. (Forearm injury) Miley W. (Elbow Injury) Staumont J. (Injury) Williamson B. (Elbow Injury) Young A. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Washington: Cavalli C. (Elbow Injury) Chaparro A. (Abdominal strain) DeJong P. (Broken nose) Gray J. (Elbow Injury) Herz D. P. (Elbow Injury) Ribalta O. (Arm Injury) Thompson M. (Elbow Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Moll S. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 104:98. (average 5.2:4.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 53:60. (average 5.3:6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals 6:11
    02.05.2025 Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals 6:1
    21.07.2024 Washington Nationals - Cincinnati Reds 5:2
    20.07.2024 Washington Nationals - Cincinnati Reds 5:4
    19.07.2024 Washington Nationals - Cincinnati Reds 8:5
    MLB Table
    Main

    American League
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Tigers674324325:2330.642
    2New York Yankees643925349:2540.609
    3Houston Astros653629261:2380.554
    4Toronto Blue Jays653530276:2770.538
    5Tampa Bay Rays653530287:2390.538
    6Minnesota Twins653530276:2390.538
    7Cleveland Guardians643430250:2690.531
    8Seattle Mariners643331282:2820.516
    9Kansas City Royals663432226:2350.515
    10Boston Red Sox673235330:3130.478
    11Texas Rangers663135221:2190.470
    12Los Angeles Angels643034270:3250.469
    13Baltimore Orioles642638246:3350.406
    14Athletics672641289:4040.388
    15Chicago White Sox662244233:2840.333


    National League
    PlWLPCT
    1New York Mets664224305:2170.636
    2Chicago Cubs654025363:2580.615
    3Los Angeles Dodgers663927367:2930.591
    4San Diego Padres643727259:2410.578
    5San Francisco Giants663828271:2260.576
    6Philadelphia Phillies653728297:2820.569
    7St.Louis Cardinals653629301:2730.554
    8Milwaukee Brewers663531292:2690.530
    9Cincinnati Reds663333301:2630.500
    10Arizona Diamondbacks653134323:3410.477
    11Washington Nationals653035275:3260.462
    12Atlanta Braves642737259:2560.422
    13Pittsburgh Pirates662640208:2690.394
    14Miami Marlins632439256:3400.381
    15Colorado Rockies651253204:4020.185

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