Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Baseball MLB Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals
Result
1:4
04/05/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLB
Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Hits
59
Errors
10
2B - double
03
3B - triple
00
Home Runs
11
Runs batted in
14
Left on base
77
Base on Balls
41
Strikeouts
138
Stolen bases
12
At bat
3135
Batting Average
0.1610.257

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cincinnati Reds
50.2%
Washington Nationals
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 48.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Washington Nationals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Nationals than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.82)

    1.93
    (2.03)
    3.8%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Washington will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%). Washington (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:5.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Washington has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Aguiar J. (Shoulder Injury) Antone T. (Elbow Injury) Candelario J. (Back Injury) Encarnacion-Strand C. (Back Injury) Gibaut I. (Shoulder Injury) Lowder R. (Forearm injury) Miley W. (Elbow Injury) Staumont J. (Injury) Williamson B. (Elbow Injury) Young A. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Washington: Cavalli C. (Elbow Injury) Chaparro A. (Abdominal strain) DeJong P. (Broken nose) Gray J. (Elbow Injury) Herz D. P. (Elbow Injury) Ribalta O. (Arm Injury) Thompson M. (Elbow Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Moll S. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 104:98. (average 5.2:4.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 53:60. (average 5.3:6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals 6:11
    02.05.2025 Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals 6:1
    21.07.2024 Washington Nationals - Cincinnati Reds 5:2
    20.07.2024 Washington Nationals - Cincinnati Reds 5:4
    19.07.2024 Washington Nationals - Cincinnati Reds 8:5
    MLB Table
    Main

    American League
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Tigers965937478:3870.615
    2Houston Astros955639417:3570.589
    3Toronto Blue Jays955540437:4170.579
    4New York Yankees955342500:3860.558
    5Boston Red Sox975245487:4290.536
    6Seattle Mariners955045443:4150.526
    7Tampa Bay Rays965046448:3840.521
    8Los Angeles Angels954748417:4750.495
    9Minnesota Twins954748401:4080.495
    10Texas Rangers964749388:3450.490
    11Kansas City Royals964650325:3540.479
    12Cleveland Guardians944549347:3930.479
    13Baltimore Orioles944351392:4720.457
    14Athletics974057411:5480.412
    15Chicago White Sox963264327:4240.333


    National League
    PlWLPCT
    1Los Angeles Dodgers965739513:4470.594
    2Chicago Cubs955639508:3920.589
    3Milwaukee Brewers955540449:3750.579
    4New York Mets965541424:3780.573
    5Philadelphia Phillies955441436:3740.568
    6San Diego Padres955243382:3740.547
    7San Francisco Giants965244397:3770.542
    8St.Louis Cardinals965046439:4230.521
    9Cincinnati Reds964947437:4080.510
    10Arizona Diamondbacks964650488:4870.479
    11Miami Marlins944351397:4620.457
    12Atlanta Braves944252384:3810.447
    13Washington Nationals953857416:5110.400
    14Pittsburgh Pirates963858324:3780.396
    15Colorado Rockies952273334:5850.232

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