Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

01/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Capital One Arena (Washington, DC).

USA: NHL

Match Stats


Shots on Goal
23	19
Shots off Goal
17	4
Shooting PCT
4.35% (1/23)	15.79% (3/19)
Blocked Shots
19	7
Goalkeeper Saves
16	22
Saves PCT
88.89% (16/18)	95.65% (22/23)
Penalties
4	4
PIM
8	8
Power-play Goals
0	1
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)	25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)	100% (4/4)
Hits
14	11
Faceoffs Won
28	17
Faceoffs %
62.22	37.78
Giveaways
16	11
Takeaways
5	4
Empty Net Goals
0	1

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (0 - 1)
02:48, Ovechkin A. (2 min),
09:55, Dubois P. (2 min),
16:43, Wilson T. (2 min),
17:11, 0 - 1, Chaffee M. (G), Point B. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
18:47, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
02:42, Guentzel J. (2 min),
09:38, Perbix N. (2 min),
09:38, McMichael C. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
06:08, 0 - 2, Goncalves G. (G), Paul N. (A),
16:01, 1 - 2, Ovechkin A. (G), Roy M. (A),
19:01, 1 - 3, Hagel B. (G),
19:40, Glendening L. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Washington Capitals
37.6%

Draw
22%

Tampa Bay Lightning
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

23.8%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

23.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 (2.5)	4.31 ↑ (4.03)	2.36 ↓ (2.52)	5.5% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

Watch this match and NHL with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : FanDuel Sports Network Sun

What is the prediction for Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Washington won 3.
Recent matches Washington is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Tampa Bay is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Tampa Bay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Washington have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Washington: Backstrom N. (Hip Injury) Milano S. (Upper-Body Injury) Oshie T.J. (Back Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Washington won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 65:57 (average 3.3:2.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Washington won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 29:19 (average 3.2:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Washington Capitals won against Tampa Bay Lightning?

Washington Capitals has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Washington Capitals?

Tampa Bay Lightning has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:

27.11.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals 4:5

26.10.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals 3:0

13.04.2024 Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:2

22.02.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals 3:5

23.12.2023 Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:2

Latest results of Washington Capitals

27.02.2025 Washington Capitals - St. Louis Blues 2:5 ✺

25.02.2025 Washington Capitals - Calgary Flames 1:3 ✺

23.02.2025 Washington Capitals - Edmonton Oilers 7:3 ✺

22.02.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Washington Capitals 3:8 ✺

09.02.2025 Washington Capitals - Utah Hockey Club 4:5 ✺

Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning

27.02.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Calgary Flames 3:0 ✺

25.02.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Edmonton Oilers 4:1 ✺

23.02.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Seattle Kraken 4:1 ✺

09.02.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:5 ✺

08.02.2025 Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:6 ✺

NHL Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Anaheim Ducks	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
2	Winnipeg Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
3	Calgary Flames	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	Chicago Blackhawks	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	Colorado Avalanche	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Dallas Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
7	Edmonton Oilers	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	Los Angeles Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	Minnesota Wild	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	Nashville Predators	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
11	San Jose Sharks	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
12	St. Louis Blues	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
13	Vancouver Canucks	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	Vegas Golden Knights	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
15	Seattle Kraken	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
16	Utah Mammoth	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Detroit Red Wings	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
2	Pittsburgh Penguins	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
3	Boston Bruins	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	Buffalo Sabres	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	Carolina Hurricanes	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Columbus Blue Jackets	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
7	Florida Panthers	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	Montreal Canadiens	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	New Jersey Devils	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	New York Islanders	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
11	Ottawa Senators	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
12	Philadelphia Flyers	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
13	Tampa Bay Lightning	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	Toronto Maple Leafs	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
15	Washington Capitals	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
16	New York Rangers	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay