Warta Poznań vs Stal Mielec: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec
Result
5:2
22/04/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 29
  • Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)
Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.17
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
1115
Shots on Goal
74
Shots off Goal
411
Free Kicks
1012
Corner Kicks
22
Offsides
21
Throw-ins
1227
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Fouls
109
Yellow Cards
01
Total Passes
387554
Completed Passes
293438
Tackles
911
Attacks
9682
Dangerous Attacks
4337
Crosses Completed
35
Distance Covered (km)
119114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Matuszewski K. , Mezghrani M. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Jaunzems A. ,
  • 38', 2 - 1, Zrelak A. , Maenpaa N. (A),
  • 45+1', 2 - 2, Shkurin I. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 47', 3 - 2, Zrelak A. ,
  • 48', Pingot M. 🟨,
  • 49', 4 - 2, Szymonowicz D. , Mezghrani M. (A),
  • 55', Jaunzems A. , Gerstenstein L. ,
  • 55', Rafa Santos , Gheorghe I. ,
  • 62', Szmyt K. , Prikryl T. ,
  • 62', Guillaumier M. , Hinokio K. ,
  • 62', Wolkowicz K. , Strzalek I. ,
  • 71', 5 - 2, Zrelak A. , Prikryl T. (A),
  • 76', Zrelak A. , Zurawski M. ,
  • 76', Luis M. , Savic S. ,
  • 76', Domanski M. , Stepien M. ,
  • 90+1', Maenpaa N. , Paszkowski J. ,
  • 90+1', Matuszewski K. , Borowski F. ,

Chances of winning


Warta Poznań
43.5%
Draw
31.1%
Stal Mielec
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 29% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 28.3% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.17)
    3.01
    (3.1)
    3.69
    (3.05)
    6.7%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Warta: 23.4%70.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Warta won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Warta will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Warta: Przybylko K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Stal Mielec: Leandro (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Warta won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec were as follows:
    23.10.2023 Stal Mielec - Warta Poznań 0:1
    27.05.2023 Stal Mielec - Warta Poznań 1:0
    11.11.2022 Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec 1:1
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock54108:2613
    2Gornik Zabrze640210:4612
    3Cracovia531111:8310
    4Jagiellonia430110:919
    5Radomiak Radom622211:928
    6Termalica B-B62229:728
    7Korona Kielce62227:618
    8Legia42115:237
    9Widzew Lodz62138:717
    10Lech Poznan42118:9-17
    11Pogon Szczecin62139:13-47
    12Rakow42026:7-16
    13Zaglebie41219:635
    14Arka Gdynia51224:7-35
    15Motor Lublin51225:9-45
    16GKS Katowice61147:13-64
    17Piast Gliwice30120:3-31
    18Lechia Gdansk502311:17-6-3

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
    polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport 5
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
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