Walsall vs Northampton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English EFL Trophy Walsall - Northampton Town
Result
0:1
07/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Trophy
Walsall - Northampton Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.201.32
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
411
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
68% (201/297)78% (377/483)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.201.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.160.44
Total shots
411
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
28
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1323
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
914
Passes
68% (201/297)78% (377/483)
Long passes
31% (23/75)39% (31/79)
Passes in final third
51% (53/103)63% (85/136)
Crosses
8% (1/13)42% (8/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.170.65
Throw-ins
2136
Fouls
149
Tackles
79% (19/24)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5961
Clearances
3219
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.440.16
Goals prevented
-0.560.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Jellis J. , Finnigan R. ,
  • 46', McGeehan C. , Fornah T. ,
  • 46', Thorniley J. , Guinness-Walker N. ,
  • 46', Vale J. , List E. ,
  • 46', Campbell D. , Taylor T. ,
  • 46', Farquharson P. , Straw S. ,
  • 46', Comley B. , Hollman J. ,
  • 52', List E. , Hoskins S. ,
  • 53', McCarthy C. 🟨,
  • 66', Matt J. , McLloyd O. ,
  • 66', Weir E. , Maher R. ,
  • 78', Hornby S. 🟨,
  • 82', Maher R. 🟨,
  • 88', 0 - 1, Swyer K. , Taylor T. (A),

Chances of winning


Walsall
34.8%
Draw
29.7%
Northampton Town
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 27.1% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 25.4% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Walsall's form might have worsened.
  • Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Northampton Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Walsall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Northampton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Walsall - Northampton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.16)
    3.14
    (3.41)
    2.65
    (3.05)
    7.2%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Walsall - Northampton Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Walsall will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 2.
    • Walsall has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Northampton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Northampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Walsall will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Walsall won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Walsall - Northampton Town were as follows:
    04.02.2023 Northampton Town - Walsall 0:0
    04.10.2022 Walsall - Northampton Town 1:0
    Latest results of Walsall
    04.10.2025 Walsall - Bristol Rovers 2:1
    20.09.2025 Walsall - Tranmere Rovers 4:2
    13.09.2025 Fleetwood Town - Walsall 1:1
    06.09.2025 Walsall - Chesterfield 1:0
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    English EFL Trophy Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWLLPts
    1Salford220005:16
    2Stockport County210016:63
    3Wolves U21210015:63
    4Wigan200021:40


    Group 2
    PlWWLLPts
    1Tranmere211004:35
    2Blackpool110005:03
    3Nottingham U21100102:21
    4Barrow200021:70


    Group 3
    PlWWLLPts
    1Doncaster220005:16
    2Bradford City110002:13
    3Everton U21100011:20
    4Grimsby200021:50


    Group 4
    PlWWLLPts
    1Lincoln220006:06
    2Notts Co210012:43
    3Barnsley100011:20
    4Manchester Utd U21100010:30


    Group 5
    PlWWLLPts
    1Bolton220004:06
    2Manchester City U21210015:43
    3Rotherham210013:33
    4Oldham200023:80


    Group 6
    PlWWLLPts
    1Harrogate220002:06
    2Huddersfield210016:33
    3Mansfield100010:10
    4Newcastle Utd U21100012:60


    Group 7
    PlWWLLPts
    1Port Vale220006:16
    2Fleetwood211006:25
    3Accrington200112:41
    4Leeds U21200021:80


    Group 8
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crewe110007:13
    2Burton210012:13
    3Chesterfield210012:73
    4Liverpool U21100010:20


    Group 9
    PlWWLLPts
    1Arsenal U21110002:13
    2Newport210012:23
    3Cardiff210011:13
    4Exeter100010:10


    Group 10
    PlWWLLPts
    1Plymouth220008:26
    2Bristol Rovers211005:45
    3Tottenham U21200116:101
    4Cheltenham200020:30


    Group 11
    PlWWLLPts
    1Northampton220004:06
    2Walsall210013:23
    3Shrewsbury210014:43
    4Chelsea U21200021:60


    Group 12
    PlWWLLPts
    1Reading320016:46
    2West Ham U21210016:43
    3Swindon110003:23
    4MK Dons200021:60


    Group 13
    PlWWLLPts
    1Stevenage220007:26
    2AFC Wimbledon210014:63
    3Bromley201014:52
    4Crystal Palace U21200114:61


    Group 14
    PlWWLLPts
    1Leyton Orient220005:26
    2Crawley210015:43
    3Peterborough210015:53
    4Aston Villa U21200024:80


    Group 15
    PlWWLLPts
    1Colchester220004:26
    2Gillingham210015:33
    3Wycombe210014:33
    4Fulham U21200022:70


    Group 16
    PlWWLLPts
    1Cambridge Utd110003:13
    2Luton210015:43
    3Barnet201012:52
    4Brighton U21100101:11

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