Hartlepool United vs Walsall: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Hartlepool United - Walsall
Result
3:3
25/02/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 34
  • Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
Hartlepool United - Walsall - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Hartlepool United
24.4%
Draw
29.7%
Walsall
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 30.1% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 29.9% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hartlepool United's form might have worsened.
  • Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Walsall's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartlepool United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Walsall, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hartlepool United - Walsall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.83
    (3.1)
    3.16
    (3.1)
    2.05
    (2.35)
    6.6%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Hartlepool United - Walsall?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Walsall will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Walsall: 26.7%80.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 and 13).
    • Hartlepool has the most likely position - 23 (48.91%), has project points - 38, has currently - 27, has a good chance of relegated (74%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
    • Walsall has the most likely position - 11 (9.93%), has project points - 65, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has very small quality 6, small importance 30, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Walsall will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    Latest results of Hartlepool United
    Latest results of Walsall
    21.02.2023 Walsall - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    18.02.2023 Walsall - Newport County 1:1
    11.02.2023 Walsall - Leyton Orient 1:1
    04.02.2023 Northampton Town - Walsall 0:0
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe33006:159
    2Chesterfield33006:159
    3MK Dons32107:077
    4Grimsby32108:447
    5Fleetwood32106:337
    6Swindon32016:516
    7Walsall32014:316
    8Salford32015:506
    9Tranmere31206:245
    10Colchester31204:225
    11Bromley31204:225
    12Harrogate31205:415
    13Gillingham31203:215
    14Cambridge Utd31114:404
    15Newport31114:404
    16Barrow31022:4-23
    17Oldham30212:3-12
    18Notts Co30123:5-21
    19Accrington30122:5-31
    20Shrewsbury30120:6-61
    21Bristol Rovers30032:6-40
    22Barnet30031:6-50
    23Crawley30031:6-50
    24Cheltenham30030:8-80

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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