Wadi Degla vs Smouha: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Egyptian Premier League Wadi Degla - Smouha
Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 9
Wadi Degla - Smouha - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.01
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
74% (233/315)65% (178/273)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.180.91
Total shots
107
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
10
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2421
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
618
Passes
74% (233/315)65% (178/273)
Long passes
39% (24/61)42% (30/72)
Passes in final third
66% (78/118)49% (46/94)
Crosses
17% (3/18)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.93
Throw-ins
3123
Fouls
186
Tackles
83% (5/6)55% (6/11)
Duels won
3043
Clearances
3921
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.911.18
Goals prevented
-0.090.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mohamed H. , Scholes A. ,
  • 46', El Bahnasi I. , Kaandorp M. ,
  • 50', 1 - 0, Boli F. , Diasty M. (A),
  • 53', Mayhoub A. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Fekri S. , Reda S. (A),
  • 65', El Ghandour K. , Yehia A. ,
  • 73', Diasty M. 🟨,
  • 73', Dahroug A. , Reda A. ,
  • 74', Amadi S. , Ashraf H. ,
  • 74', Diasty M. , Farouk A. ,
  • 81', Amer A. 🟨,
  • 86', Oya Y. , Abdelrahim M. ,
  • 87', Abdelrahim M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Fekri S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Fekri S. , Mostafa M. ,
  • 90+3', Badji P. , Juhayna ,
  • 90+4', Boli F. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Reda S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Fawzi A. , Mohamed K. ,

Chances of winning


Wadi Degla
49.2%
Draw
34.4%
Smouha
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 34.9% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 35% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wadi Degla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wadi Degla's performance.
  • Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Smouha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (-16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wadi Degla that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Smouha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Wadi Degla - Smouha Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.84)
    2.99
    (2.66)
    6.28
    (2.87)
    -2.9%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Wadi Degla - Smouha?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wadi Degla will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 2.
    • Wadi Degla has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Smouha's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Smouha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:26. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wadi Degla won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
    Latest results of Wadi Degla
    Latest results of Smouha
    19.09.2025 Smouha - Haras El-Hodood 1:0
    31.08.2025 Smouha - Petrojet 0:0
    26.08.2025 Kahrabaa Ismailia - Smouha 1:2
    21.08.2025 Smouha - ZED 1:1
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Masry1053218:11718
    2Zamalek1053214:7718
    3Al Ahly953117:11618
    4Ceramica Cleopatra952210:4617
    5Enppi104519:5417
    6Wadi Degla1044211:7416
    7Pyramids742111:4714
    8Smouha93518:5314
    9Petrojet93518:8014
    10El Gouna92617:6112
    11ZED103347:7012
    12Modern Sport933311:12-112
    13National Bank Egypt92527:5211
    14Ghazl El Mahallah101816:4211
    15Haras El Hodood93247:10-311
    16El Gaish102353:11-89
    17Al Ittihad92255:11-68
    18Kahrabaa Ismailia92259:18-98
    19Pharco90633:8-56
    20Arab Contractors100553:9-65
    21El Ismaily101182:13-114

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
          Premier League (Relegation Group: )

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