VPS Vaasa vs Haka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga VPS Vaasa - Haka
Result
1:0
26/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group
VPS Vaasa - Haka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.591.68
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
77% (352/456)71% (217/305)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.591.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.21
Total shots
716
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
06
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2217
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
77% (352/456)71% (217/305)
Long passes
43% (24/56)35% (23/65)
Passes in final third
68% (82/121)56% (53/95)
Crosses
35% (6/17)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.41
Throw-ins
2819
Fouls
1612
Tackles
64% (9/14)61% (11/18)
Duels won
5955
Clearances
3627
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.211.24
Goals prevented
0.210.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Fall M. , Cicale A. (A),
  • 22', Friberg N. , Houston J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', Lindholm S. 🟨,
  • 68', Lescano J. , Sejdiu A. ,
  • 68', Hudd R. , Multanen K. ,
  • 70', Reid T. 🟨,
  • 74', Raisanen A. , El Ouatki Y. ,
  • 74', Cicale A. , Jakonen O. ,
  • 76', Lindholm S. , Akintunde J. ,
  • 77', Gianini Dantas N. , Boamah M. ,
  • 83', Wilson W. , Keturi O. ,
  • 83', Dekker T. , Engstrom J. ,
  • 90+3', Ahiabu P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


VPS Vaasa
46.4%
Draw
25.7%
Haka
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 24.7% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 24.2% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • VPS Vaasa - Haka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.89)
    3.8
    (3.84)
    3.54
    (3.8)
    3.7%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for VPS Vaasa - Haka?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. VPS will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Haka will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for VPS: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): VPS Vaasa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 3.
    • Recent performances by VPS have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Haka is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • VPS will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in VPS: Vahtera J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Haka: Bulgakov D. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, VPS won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, VPS won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between VPS Vaasa - Haka were as follows:
    02.07.2025 VPS Vaasa - Haka 1:2
    31.05.2025 Haka - VPS Vaasa 2:1
    19.10.2024 Haka - VPS Vaasa 2:3
    18.08.2024 VPS Vaasa - Haka 3:2
    06.04.2024 Haka - VPS Vaasa 1:2
    Latest results of VPS Vaasa
    21.09.2025 IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa 2:1
    13.09.2025 VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka 2:1
    31.08.2025 Inter Turku - VPS Vaasa 2:1
    22.08.2025 VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka 3:2
    15.08.2025 Gnistan - VPS Vaasa 0:0
    Latest results of Haka
    19.09.2025 Haka - Oulu 0:1
    13.09.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Haka 1:1
    31.08.2025 Oulu - Haka 3:2
    25.08.2025 Haka - SJK 2:3
    17.08.2025 Haka - HJK 1:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ilves26164657:352252
    2Inter Turku25148349:222750
    3KuPS25155548:291950
    4SJK26146654:391548
    5HJK26145766:372947
    6Gnistan26871139:50-1131

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    Which TV channels are streaming of VPS Vaasa - Haka?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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