Volta Redonda vs Avaí: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Volta Redonda - Avaí
Result
1:1
17/06/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 12
  • Referee: Belence P. (Bra)
Volta Redonda - Avaí - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.76
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
121
Passes
84% (465/553)77% (209/273)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.430.37
Total shots
199
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
3415
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1715
Passes
84% (465/553)77% (209/273)
Long passes
67% (40/60)43% (25/58)
Passes in final third
66% (125/188)53% (31/58)
Crosses
25% (7/28)60% (6/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.97
Throw-ins
2812
Fouls
1517
Tackles
83% (5/6)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5147
Clearances
1752
Interceptions
616
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
29
xGOT faced
0.371.43
Goals prevented
-0.630.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', Lucas Adell , Lucas Ramires ,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Cleber , Marquinhos Gabriel (A),
  • 38', Lucas Ramires 🟨,
  • 42', Hygor 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lucas Ramires , Chay ,
  • 46', Hygor , Railan ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, MV ,
  • 59', Jean Drosny 🟨,
  • 60', Bruno Barra 🟨,
  • 65', Eduardo Brock 🟨,
  • 69', Wellington Silva 🟨,
  • 70', Wellington Silva , Ynaia ,
  • 70', MV , Leo Ceara ,
  • 77', Italo , Matheus Lucas ,
  • 78', Cleber , Alef Manga ,
  • 78', Emerson Negueba , Jamerson ,
  • 79', Gustavo Barreto , Leo Reis ,
  • 84', Jamerson 🟨,
  • 88', Joao Vitor , Mendes ,

Chances of winning


Volta Redonda
37.7%
Draw
32.2%
Avaí
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 32.1% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 31.8% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volta Redonda's performance.
  • Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avaí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volta Redonda that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avaí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Volta Redonda - Avaí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.96)
    2.9
    (2.88)
    3.08
    (2.52)
    7.3%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Volta Redonda - Avaí?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Volta Redonda will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Avaí will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Avaí will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 8).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Volta Redonda: Caio Roque (Inactive) Dener (Inactive) Du Fernandes (Inactive) Fabricio (Inactive) Lucas Tocantins (Injury) Marquinhos (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Avaí: Jonathan Costa (Inactive) Quaresma (Injury) Ze Ricardo (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Avaí: Leo Reis (Inactive) Renan (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Volta Redonda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Volta Redonda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Volta Redonda
    08.06.2025 Goiás - Volta Redonda 2:0
    24.05.2025 Remo - Volta Redonda 1:1
    19.05.2025 Volta Redonda - Amazonas 1:1
    11.05.2025 Criciúma - Volta Redonda 0:0
    Latest results of Avaí
    07.06.2025 Avaí - CRB Maceio 1:0
    31.05.2025 Coritiba - Avaí 2:1
    24.05.2025 Avaí - Chapecoense 2:1
    15.05.2025 Ferroviária - Avaí 1:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias18113423:14936
    2Coritiba19105420:13735
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo1878321:16529
    6Cuiaba1884622:21128
    7Vila Nova FC1983818:18027
    8Criciuma1875622:17526
    9CRB1974820:18225
    10Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    11Avai1867521:20125
    12Operario-PR1965821:20123
    13Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    14Athletic Club18711021:25-422
    15America MG19631020:26-621
    16Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    17Ferroviaria1948718:22-420
    18Paysandu PA1847717:20-319
    19Amazonas1947818:25-719
    20Botafogo SP1846812:22-1018

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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