Volta Redonda vs Avaí: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Volta Redonda - Avaí
Result
1:1
17/06/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 12
  • Referee: Belence P. (Bra)
Volta Redonda - Avaí - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.76
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
121
Passes
84% (465/553)77% (209/273)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.430.37
Total shots
199
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
3415
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1715
Passes
84% (465/553)77% (209/273)
Long passes
67% (40/60)43% (25/58)
Passes in final third
66% (125/188)53% (31/58)
Crosses
25% (7/28)60% (6/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.97
Throw-ins
2812
Fouls
1517
Tackles
83% (5/6)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5147
Clearances
1752
Interceptions
616
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
29
xGOT faced
0.371.43
Goals prevented
-0.630.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', Lucas Adell , Lucas Ramires ,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Cleber , Marquinhos Gabriel (A),
  • 38', Lucas Ramires 🟨,
  • 42', Hygor 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lucas Ramires , Chay ,
  • 46', Hygor , Railan ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, MV ,
  • 59', Jean Drosny 🟨,
  • 60', Bruno Barra 🟨,
  • 65', Eduardo Brock 🟨,
  • 69', Wellington Silva 🟨,
  • 70', Wellington Silva , Ynaia ,
  • 70', MV , Leo Ceara ,
  • 77', Italo , Matheus Lucas ,
  • 78', Cleber , Alef Manga ,
  • 78', Emerson Negueba , Jamerson ,
  • 79', Gustavo Barreto , Leo Reis ,
  • 84', Jamerson 🟨,
  • 88', Joao Vitor , Mendes ,

Chances of winning


Volta Redonda
37.7%
Draw
32.2%
Avaí
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 32.1% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 31.8% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volta Redonda's performance.
  • Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avaí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volta Redonda that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avaí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Volta Redonda - Avaí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.96)
    2.9
    (2.88)
    3.08
    (2.52)
    7.3%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Volta Redonda - Avaí?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Volta Redonda will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Avaí will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Avaí will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 8).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Volta Redonda: Caio Roque (Inactive) Dener (Inactive) Du Fernandes (Inactive) Fabricio (Inactive) Lucas Tocantins (Injury) Marquinhos (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Avaí: Jonathan Costa (Inactive) Quaresma (Injury) Ze Ricardo (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Avaí: Leo Reis (Inactive) Renan (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Volta Redonda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Volta Redonda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Volta Redonda
    08.06.2025 Goiás - Volta Redonda 2:0
    24.05.2025 Remo - Volta Redonda 1:1
    19.05.2025 Volta Redonda - Amazonas 1:1
    11.05.2025 Criciúma - Volta Redonda 0:0
    Latest results of Avaí
    07.06.2025 Avaí - CRB Maceio 1:0
    31.05.2025 Coritiba - Avaí 2:1
    24.05.2025 Avaí - Chapecoense 2:1
    15.05.2025 Ferroviária - Avaí 1:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba1593315:6930
    2Goias1492318:11729
    3Novorizontino1576218:10827
    4Avai1566319:13624
    5Remo1566317:13424
    6Athletico-PR1572619:19023
    7Vila Nova FC1571714:15-122
    8Cuiaba1564515:16-122
    9CRB1563615:14121
    10Atletico GO1556416:14221
    11America MG1462616:16020
    12Chapecoense-SC1461717:14319
    13Ferroviaria1546515:17-218
    14Operario-PR1452716:17-117
    15Botafogo SP1545612:17-517
    16Criciuma1444616:15116
    17Paysandu PA153579:15-614
    18Volta Redonda153577:14-714
    19Amazonas1535712:20-814
    20Athletic Club14401013:23-1012

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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