Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Russian FNL Volga Ulyanovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Result
1:1
03/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FNL - Round 8
  • Referee: Opeykina V. (Rus)
Volga Ulyanovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
56
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
99
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
64
Free Kicks
1618
Goalkeeper Saves
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', Morozov K. 🟨,
  • 20', Tarba Z. 🟨,
  • 20', Shagiakhmetov R. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Tarba Z. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Puzanov S. , Zhilkin G. ,
  • 64', Novikov D. 🟨,
  • 66', Krasilnichenko O. , Gutsa A. ,
  • 66', Yakovlev V. , Rudenko V. ,
  • 68', Lozhkin V. , Gurchenko D. ,
  • 76', Shagiakhmetov R. , Umnikov M. ,
  • 76', Uridia G. , Rakhmanov D. ,
  • 77', Tarba Z. , Aliev S. ,
  • 86', Kovalev K. , Molodtsov A. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Rudenko V. ,

Chances of winning


Volga Ulyanovsk
37.7%
Draw
31%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 31% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 31.2% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volga Ulyanovsk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chernomorets Novorossiysk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Volga Ulyanovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.88)
    3.1
    (3.04)
    3.06
    (2.6)
    4.2%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Volga Ulyanovsk (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Volga Ulyanovsk will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In recent matches, Volga Ulyanovsk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chernomorets is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Volga Ulyanovsk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Volga Ulyanovsk
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh1493213:8530
    2S. Kostroma1485122:13929
    3R. Volgograd1474320:71325
    4Ural1373321:15624
    5Chelyabinsk1365218:10823
    6Kamaz1465322:15723
    7Rodina Moscow1465321:13823
    8SKA Khabarovsk1454515:16-119
    9Neftekhimik1446415:16-118
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl1445510:11-117
    11Arsenal Tula1437420:18216
    12Chernomorets Novorossijsk1443718:19-115
    13Yenisey1435611:16-514
    14Ufa1427515:16-113
    15Ulyanovsk1433815:27-1212
    16FK Chayka1425712:28-1611
    17Saratov141768:16-810
    18Torpedo Moscow1424810:22-1210

          Promotion ~ Premier League
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