Volendam vs Ajax: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Volendam - Ajax
Result
1:1
30/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 4
  • Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
Volendam - Ajax - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.630.96
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
78% (224/289)89% (568/635)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.630.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.44
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1331
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
78% (224/289)89% (568/635)
Long passes
39% (23/59)66% (35/53)
Passes in final third
61% (57/94)82% (157/192)
Crosses
15% (2/13)18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.22
Throw-ins
1013
Fouls
1215
Tackles
75% (15/20)60% (3/5)
Duels won
4835
Clearances
3524
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.441.29
Goals prevented
-0.560.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Veerman H. , Descotte A. (A),
  • 23', Moro R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Amevor M. , Mbuyamba X. ,
  • 46', Gloukh O. , Edvardsen O. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Itakura K. , Weghorst W. (A),
  • 62', Moro R. , Godts M. ,
  • 62', Fitz-Jim K. , Klaassen D. ,
  • 62', Itakura K. , Sutalo J. ,
  • 70', Oehlers A. , Ideho J. ,
  • 70', Veerman H. , Muhren R. ,
  • 79', Weghorst W. 🟨,
  • 81', Kokcu O. , Kuwas B. ,
  • 81', Yah G. , Plat A. ,
  • 83', Descotte A. 🟨,
  • 87', Rosa L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Taylor K. , Bounida R. ,
  • 90+7', Leliendal Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Volendam
12.4%
Draw
17.5%
Ajax
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.2% 17.9% 69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.7% 17.2% 72.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Volendam - Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.69
    (7.65)
    5.42
    (5.2)
    1.35
    (1.34)
    5.4%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Volendam - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Volendam will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Ajax will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 55.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volendam won 0.
    • Volendam has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Ajax has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Volendam has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Ajax is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Gooijer T. (Knee Injury) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Bouwman A. (Knock) Mokio J. (Injury) Traore B. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Volendam won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1.7:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Volendam won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Volendam - Ajax were as follows:
    05.05.2024 Volendam - Ajax 1:4
    02.11.2023 Ajax - Volendam 2:0
    26.01.2023 Ajax - Volendam 1:1
    07.12.2022 Ajax - Volendam 5:4
    08.10.2022 Volendam - Ajax 2:4
    Latest results of Volendam
    23.08.2025 Telstar - Volendam 2:2
    17.08.2025 Volendam - AZ Alkmaar 2:2
    09.08.2025 Heerenveen - Volendam 1:1
    02.08.2025 VVV-Venlo - Volendam 2:1
    26.07.2025 NAC Breda - Volendam 6:1
    Latest results of Ajax
    24.08.2025 Ajax - Heracles Almelo 2:0
    17.08.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax 2:2
    10.08.2025 Ajax - Telstar 2:0
    03.08.2025 Ajax - Monaco 2:2
    27.07.2025 Como - Ajax 3:0
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord651014:41016
    2PSV641119:10913
    3Ajax633012:6612
    4AZ Alkmaar633014:9512
    5Groningen640212:9312
    6Sittard631210:9110
    7Nijmegen630319:1279
    8Utrecht630311:569
    9G.A. Eagles623111:929
    10Sparta Rotterdam63038:16-89
    11Twente62139:817
    12Zwolle62136:9-37
    13NAC Breda62136:10-47
    14Excelsior62045:13-86
    15Heerenveen61238:10-25
    16FC Volendam60427:11-44
    17Telstar61145:11-64
    18Heracles60063:18-150

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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