Vitória Salvador vs Santos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Vitória Salvador - Santos
Result
0:1
25/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 10
  • Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
Vitória Salvador - Santos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.91
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
88% (322/364)74% (202/274)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.670.71
Total shots
198
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
116
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
156
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
88% (322/364)74% (202/274)
Long passes
57% (21/37)42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
84% (90/107)67% (49/73)
Crosses
21% (7/34)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.66
Throw-ins
2515
Fouls
1415
Tackles
80% (8/10)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4245
Clearances
2331
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
0.710.67
Goals prevented
-0.290.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', Luan Peres 🟨,
  • 17', Matheuzinho 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Guilherme , Souza (A),
  • 28', Ricardo Ryller 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gustavo Silva , Lucas Braga ,
  • 53', Baralhas 🟨,
  • 64', Barreal A. , Neymar ,
  • 64', Guilherme , Thaciano ,
  • 64', Ricardo Ryller , Erick ,
  • 64', Osvaldo , Leo Pereira ,
  • 71', Joao Basso , Luisao ,
  • 78', Deivid Washington , Luca Meirelles ,
  • 79', Rollheiser B. , Gabriel Bontempo ,
  • 90', Baralhas , Janderson ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vitória Salvador
43.9%
Draw
30.1%
Santos
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 29.1% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 29.9% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória Salvador that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vitória Salvador - Santos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.43)
    3.16
    (3.24)
    3.64
    (2.95)
    5.3%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Santos?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Santos will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 57.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 0.
    • Vitória has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Santos has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Vitória is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Vitória: Pepe (Red Card) Willian Oliveira (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Santos: Escobar G. (Red Card) Gil (Injury) Joao Schmidt (Thigh Injury) Ze Ivaldo (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Vitória: Caceres R. (Inactive) Gabriel (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1.1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Latest results of Santos
    22.05.2025 CRB Maceio - Santos 1:0
    18.05.2025 Corinthians - Santos 1:0
    12.05.2025 Santos - Ceará 0:0
    04.05.2025 Grêmio - Santos 1:0
    01.05.2025 Santos - CRB Maceio 1:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1283126:42227
    2Cruzeiro1273217:8924
    3Bragantino1272314:11323
    4Palmeiras1171312:8422
    5Bahia1263314:11321
    6Fluminense1162315:12320
    7Atletico-MG1255213:10320
    8Botafogo RJ1153314:7718
    9Mirassol1145217:12517
    10Corinthians1244413:15-216
    11Gremio1244412:15-316
    12Ceara1143413:11215
    13Internacional1335513:18-514
    14Vasco1241714:16-213
    15Sao Paulo1326510:16-612
    16Santos1232711:14-311
    17Vitoria1325610:15-511
    18Fortaleza1224612:18-610
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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