Vitoria Guimarães vs Santa Clara: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara
04/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Vitoria Guimarães
38.7%
Draw
31%
Santa Clara
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 29.7% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 30.3% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.39)
    3.05
    (3.18)
    3.07
    (3.07)
    5.9%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 1.4:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara 2:0
    10.11.2024 Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães 1:0
    05.03.2023 Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães 1:3
    09.09.2022 Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara 1:0
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    Latest results of Santa Clara
    27.09.2025 Santa Clara - Tondela 1:2
    20.09.2025 Santa Clara - Alverca 2:1
    12.09.2025 Benfica - Santa Clara 1:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto770019:11821
    2Sporting CP760119:41518
    3Benfica752013:4917
    4Moreirense750210:8215
    5Gil Vicente74128:4413
    6Famalicao73317:3412
    7Braga723211:749
    8Santa Clara72235:8-38
    9Vitoria Guimaraes72237:11-48
    10Arouca72239:18-98
    11Estrela71426:607
    12Alverca72148:11-37
    13Nacional72146:10-47
    14Casa Pia72146:11-57
    15Estoril71248:11-35
    16Rio Ave70528:13-55
    17Tondela71244:11-75
    18AFS70164:17-131

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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