Marítimo vs Vitoria Guimarães: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães
29/04/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Marítimo
39.7%
Draw
29.1%
Vitoria Guimarães
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 29.6% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 28.5% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marítimo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.65)
    3.24
    (3.15)
    3.02
    (2.65)
    5.8%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães?
  • Users Predictions: Marítimo will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 7).
    • Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (69.54%), project points - 28, currently - 22, a chance of relegated (41%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • Guimarães has the most likely position - 6 (23.69%), project points - 48, currently - 41, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 46, small importance 17, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 0.
    • Recent matches Marítimo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Guimarães has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Marítimo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 23 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 22-26.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-11.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
    13.11.2022 Vitoria Guimarães - Marítimo 1:0
    Latest results of Marítimo
    22.04.2023 Famalicão - Marítimo 3:2
    08.04.2023 Arouca - Marítimo 1:0
    02.04.2023 Marítimo - Boavista 4:2
    19.03.2023 Casa Pia - Marítimo 2:0
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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