Tokyo vs Vissel Kobe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

10/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo).

: J1 League - Round 16

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.94	1.27
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
14	16
Shots on target
7	3
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
5	11
Passes
73% (213/292)	73% (244/332)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94	1.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.61	1.00
Total shots
14	16
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
5	10
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
11	10
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
5	11
Touches in opposition box
27	32
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	6
Free Kicks
12	10
Passes
73% (213/292)	73% (244/332)
Long passes
40% (18/45)	41% (25/61)
Passes in final third
68% (70/103)	72% (119/166)
Crosses
33% (6/18)	12% (4/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.99	0.48
Throw-ins
20	36
Fouls
10	12
Tackles
52% (11/21)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
66	51
Clearances
58	25
Interceptions
11	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6
xGOT faced
1.00	1.61
Goals prevented
1.00	0.61

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Henrique Trevisan 🟨,
37', Sakai G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Yuruki K. ↓, Osako Y. ↑,
70', Hirose R. ↓, Thuler ↑,
70', Erik ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
77', Endo K. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
83', Koizumi K. ↓, Tokiwa K. ↑,
84', Sato K. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
84', Shirai K. ↓, Nagatomo Y. ↑,
85', Sasaki D. ↓, Gustavo Klismahn ↑,
90', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Kitahara M. ↑,
90+12', Honda Y. 🟨,
90+13', 1 - 0, Marcelo Ryan (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo
22.7%

Draw
27.5%

Vissel Kobe
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

27.3%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

26.9%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Tokyo - Vissel Kobe Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (4.04)	3.41 ↓ (3.45)	1.91 ↑ (1.9)	6.1% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Tokyo - Vissel Kobe?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 17% – 68.8%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 1.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Tokyo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Vissel Kobe has had a series of home games.
In this match, Vissel Kobe is considered a favorite.
There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Muto Y. (Injury) Osako Y. (Injury) Thuler (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Vissel Kobe?

Tokyo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vissel Kobe won against Tokyo?

Vissel Kobe has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Vissel Kobe were as follows:

18.10.2024 Vissel Kobe - Tokyo 0:2

09.03.2024 Tokyo - Vissel Kobe 1:2

26.08.2023 Tokyo - Vissel Kobe 2:2

27.05.2023 Vissel Kobe - Tokyo 3:2

14.09.2022 Vissel Kobe - Tokyo 2:1

Latest results of Tokyo

03.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 2:3 ✺

29.04.2025 Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:2 ✺

25.04.2025 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo 1:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Omiya Ardija - Tokyo 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Vissel Kobe

06.05.2025 Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka 1:3 ✺

03.05.2025 Vissel Kobe - Fagiano Okayama 2:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Vissel Kobe - Machida Zelvia 1:0 ✺

16.04.2025 Vissel Kobe - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Vissel Kobe 0:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	30	18	4	8	45:27	18	58
2	Kyoto	30	16	7	7	53:32	21	55
3	Kashiwa Reysol	30	15	10	5	43:29	14	55
4	Vissel Kobe	30	16	6	8	37:26	11	54
5	Machida	30	15	6	9	46:32	14	51
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	30	15	6	9	35:21	14	51
7	Kawasaki Frontale	30	13	9	8	53:39	14	48
8	Urawa Reds	30	13	8	9	39:32	7	47
9	Cerezo Osaka	30	11	10	9	47:42	5	43
10	Gamba Osaka	30	13	4	13	39:44	-5	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	30	10	9	11	33:36	-3	39
12	Okayama	30	11	6	13	28:33	-5	39
13	Avispa Fukuoka	30	9	10	11	30:34	-4	37
14	FC Tokyo	30	10	7	13	32:42	-10	37
15	Nagoya Grampus	30	9	8	13	38:43	-5	35
16	Verdy	30	9	8	13	20:31	-11	35
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	30	7	7	16	28:38	-10	28
18	Yokohama FC	30	7	6	17	20:36	-16	27
19	Shonan Bellmare	30	6	7	17	27:53	-26	25
20	Albirex Niigata	30	4	8	18	27:50	-23	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Tokyo - Vissel Kobe?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan