Villarreal vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Villarreal - Real Madrid
Result
1:2
15/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 28
  • Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)
Villarreal - Real Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.761.05
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
239
Shots on Goal
105
Shots off Goal
82
Blocked Shots
52
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
114
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
39
Free Kicks
317
Offsides
13
Fouls
173
Yellow Cards
21
Throw-ins
1914
Touches in the Opposition Box
5020
Passes
87% (403/463)88% (524/593)
Passes in the final third
81% (149/185)83% (143/172)
Crosses
23% (10/43)0% (0/5)
Tackles
54% (13/24)50% (10/20)
Clearances Total
1347
Interceptions
717

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Foyth J. ⚽,
  • 17', 1 - 1, Mbappe K. ⚽,
  • 23', 1 - 2, Mbappe K. ⚽, Lucas (A),
  • 33', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pepe N. ↓, Barry T. ↑,
  • 50', Cardona S. 🟨,
  • 62', Asencio R. ↓, Rudiger A. ↑,
  • 62', Diaz B. ↓, Vinicius Junior ↑,
  • 64', Cardona S. ↓, Pedraza A. ↑,
  • 64', Buchanan T. ↓, Pino Y. ↑,
  • 65', Rodrygo ↓, Modric L. ↑,
  • 76', Foyth J. 🟨,
  • 79', Comesana S. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
  • 82', Valverde F. ↓, Guler A. ↑,
  • 84', Gueye P. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,

Chances of winning


Villarreal
32.5%		Draw
25.3%		Real Madrid
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.8% 24.4% 45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 24.8% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
    •

    Villarreal - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.97 ↓
    (3.22)    		 3.83 ↓
    (3.94)    		 2.28 ↑
    (2.09)    		 3.8%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : ESPN Deportes
    •
    What is the prediction for Villarreal - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 10 - 18.5%). Real will win (votes: 37 - 68.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 13%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 56.1% – 80.9%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 1.
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (Knee Injury) Kiko Femenia (Back Injury) Moreno G. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Vallejo J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Real: Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28:37 (average 1.4:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:18 (average 1.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villarreal - Real Madrid were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Real Madrid - Villarreal 2:0
    19.05.2024 Villarreal - Real Madrid 4:4
    17.12.2023 Real Madrid - Villarreal 4:1
    08.04.2023 Real Madrid - Villarreal 2:3
    19.01.2023 Villarreal - Real Madrid 2:3
    Latest results of Villarreal
    08.03.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal 1:0 ✺
    22.02.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 0:1 ✺
    15.02.2025 Villarreal - Valencia 1:1 ✺
    08.02.2025 Las Palmas - Villarreal 1:2 ✺
    01.02.2025 Villarreal - Valladolid 5:1 ✺
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    12.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺
    04.03.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Betis - Real Madrid 2:1 ✺
    26.02.2025 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona382846102:396388
    2Real Madrid38266678:384084
    3Atl. Madrid382210668:303876
    4Ath Bilbao381913654:292570
    5Villarreal382010871:512070
    6Betis3816121057:50760
    7Celta Vigo381671559:57255
    8Rayo Vallecano3813131241:45-452
    9Osasuna3812161048:52-452
    10Mallorca381391635:44-948
    11Real Sociedad381371835:46-1146
    12Valencia3811131444:54-1046
    13Getafe381191834:39-542
    14Espanyol381191840:51-1142
    15Alaves3810121638:48-1042
    16Girona381181944:60-1641
    17Sevilla3810111742:55-1341
    18Leganes389131639:56-1740
    19Las Palmas38882240:61-2132
    20Valladolid38443026:90-6416

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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