Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Bastad Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro
Result
1:2
14/07/2025 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bastad - Qualification, clay - Final
Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
41
1st Serve Percentage
70%57%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (35/52)81% (30/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (9/22)50% (14/28)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
19% (7/37)33% (17/52)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (14/28)59% (13/22)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)30% (3/10)
Winners
1822
Unforced Errors
2229
Net Points Won
63% (5/8)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
60% (44/73)68% (44/65)
Return Points Won
32% (21/65)40% (29/73)
Total Points Won
47% (65/138)53% (73/138)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (9/12)83% (10/12)
Return Games Won
17% (2/12)25% (3/12)
Total Games Won
46% (11/24)54% (13/24)

Chances of winning


Vilius Gaubas
56.7%
Thiago Monteiro
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Monteiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.5)

    2.16
    (2.35)
    6.7%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gaubas is ranked ATP: 140. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 142.
    • Gaubas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Monteiro's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gaubas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Gaubas could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gaubas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro were as follows:
    17.09.2024 Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro 0:2
    Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
    Latest results of Thiago Monteiro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Barrios Vera T.Navone M.0 : 2
    3Gaston H.Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    4Ofner S.Dzumhur D. (7)0 : 2
    5Baez S. (4)Bye
    6Monteiro T. (Q)Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)1 : 2
    7Ymer E. (WC)Boyer T.2 : 1
    8Collignon R.Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Garin C.2 : 0
    10Ymer M. (WC)Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    11Misolic F. (Q)Moller E.2 : 1
    12ByeBorges N. (3)
    13Kopriva V. (8)Dellien H. (RET.)1 : 0
    14Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (WC)De Jong J.0 : 2
    15Pellegrino A. (Q)Faria J.2 : 1
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Gaston H.Dzumhur D. (7)1 : 2
    3Baez S. (4)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 1
    4Ymer E.Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    6Misolic F.Borges N. (3)2 : 1
    7Kopriva V. (8)De Jong J.0 : 2
    8Pellegrino A.Griekspoor T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Dzumhur D. (7)2 : 1
    2Baez S. (4)Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Misolic F.2 : 0
    4De Jong J.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Darderi L. (6)
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (5)De Jong J.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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