Result
0:2
26/09/2025 at 09:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - Quarter-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 78% | 67% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (24/47) | 71% (29/41) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 50% (10/20) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 80% (4/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (15/41) | 49% (23/47) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 38% (5/13) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 57% (4/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (30/58) | 64% (39/61) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (22/61) | 48% (28/58) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (52/119) | 56% (67/119) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 89% (8/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 50% (4/8) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 71% (12/17) |
Chances of winning
Daniel Merida Aguilar
42.8% | Vilius Gaubas
57.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Daniel Merida Aguilar - Vilius Gaubas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.15) |
|
1.65 ↓
(1.69) |
3.7%
(5.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Vilius Gaubas?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 173. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 165.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Gaubas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Merida Aguilar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Merida Aguilar won against Vilius Gaubas?
Daniel Merida Aguilar has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vilius Gaubas won against Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Vilius Gaubas has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Merida Aguilar - Vilius Gaubas were as follows:
22.04.2024
Vilius Gaubas
-
Daniel Merida Aguilar
2:0
17.02.2024
Vilius Gaubas
-
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1:2
14.11.2023
Vilius Gaubas
-
Daniel Merida Aguilar
2:0
27.07.2023
Vilius Gaubas
-
Daniel Merida Aguilar
2:1
Latest results of Daniel Merida Aguilar
Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Pavlovic L. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ritschard A. (Q) | Schwaerzler J. J. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Travaglia S. (Alt) | Dodig M. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Negritu Ch. (Q) | Faria J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Carballes Baena R. (3) | Seyboth Wild T. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Llamas Ruiz P. (Q) | Moro Canas A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Araujo P. (WC) | Rocha H. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Choinski J. | Pellegrino A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Galan D. E. (7) | Trungelliti M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Den Ouden G. | Ymer E. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Cecchinato M. (Q) | Monteiro T. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Rocha F. (Q) | Buse I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Pereira T. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Merida Aguilar D. | Kym J. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Ferreira Silva F. (WC) | Clarke J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Gaubas V. | Taberner C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Ritschard A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Travaglia S. | Faria J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Rocha H. | Choinski J. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Trungelliti M. | Den Ouden G. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Monteiro T. | Buse I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Pereira T. | Merida Aguilar D. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ferreira Silva F. | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ritschard A. | Travaglia S. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Rocha H. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Trungelliti M. | Buse I. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Merida Aguilar D. | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Travaglia S. | Rocha H. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Buse I. (4) | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Final
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