Guarani vs Vila Nova: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Guarani - Vila Nova
Result
2:0
12/08/2024 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 20
Guarani - Vila Nova - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
39%61%
Goal Attempts
195
Shots on Goal
93
Shots off Goal
80
Blocked Shots
22
Free Kicks
1517
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
2231
Goalkeeper Saves
37
Fouls
1114
Yellow Cards
37
Total Passes
250499
Completed Passes
199408
Attacks
100122
Dangerous Attacks
4139

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', Alesson 🟨,
  • 36', Rhuan 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Douglas Bacelar , Airton (A),
  • 44', Caio Dantas (Pen),
  • 45+1', Joao Victor 🟨,
  • 45+3', 2 - 0, Airton ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rhuan , Silva A. ,
  • 46', Jemmes , Joao Lucas ,
  • 48', Juan Quintero 🟨,
  • 51', Douglas Bacelar 🟨,
  • 53', Cristiano 🟨,
  • 63', Junior Todinho , Everton ,
  • 73', Igor Henrique 🟨,
  • 75', Caio Dantas , Luccas Paraizo ,
  • 76', Luan Dias 🟨,
  • 77', Everton 🟨,
  • 81', Cristiano , Emerson Urso ,
  • 81', Igor Henrique , Joao Victor ,
  • 86', Joao Lucas 🟨,
  • 87', Joao Victor , Heitor ,
  • 90+1', Luan Dias , Lucas Araujo ,
  • 90+1', Airton , Marlon Maranhao ,

Chances of winning


Guarani
40.1%
Draw
31.9%
Vila Nova
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 31.2% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 30.7% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vila Nova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vila Nova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Guarani - Vila Nova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.6)
    2.94
    (2.97)
    3.35
    (2.8)
    6.8%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Guarani - Vila Nova?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17%68.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 6).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Guarani won 0.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Guarani: Bruno Mendes (Injury) Camacho (Injury) Pegorari (Injury)
    • There will not play in Vila Nova: Arilson (Injury) Marcondes (Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-15.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guarani - Vila Nova were as follows:
    22.04.2024 Vila Nova - Guarani 2:0
    07.10.2023 Guarani - Vila Nova 1:1
    10.06.2023 Vila Nova - Guarani 0:0
    06.09.2022 Vila Nova - Guarani 2:1
    Latest results of Guarani
    06.08.2024 Ceará - Guarani 3:1
    28.07.2024 Guarani - Brusque 1:0
    24.07.2024 Amazonas - Guarani 1:1
    21.07.2024 Guarani - Goiás 2:3
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    05.08.2024 Vila Nova - Paysandu 2:2
    26.07.2024 Ituano - Vila Nova 0:0
    23.07.2024 Ponte Preta - Vila Nova 2:0
    18.07.2024 Vila Nova - Santos 1:1
    14.07.2024 Vila Nova - Avaí 2:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias20115426:17938
    2Coritiba20115422:14838
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo2079422:19330
    6Criciuma2085723:18529
    7Cuiaba1984722:22028
    8Avai1977526:20628
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10Operario-PR2075822:20226
    11CRB1974820:18225
    12Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    13Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    14Ferroviaria2058720:22-223
    15Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    16America MG20631121:28-721
    17Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    18Botafogo SP2056914:28-1421
    19Paysandu PA1948718:21-320
    20Amazonas2048820:27-720

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Guarani - Vila Nova?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilCanais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
    worldWorldAmazon Prime Video
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