Vila Nova vs Athletico Paranaense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Vila Nova - Athletico Paranaense
Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 8
  • Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)
Vila Nova - Athletico Paranaense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Vila Nova - Athletico Paranaense live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.15
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
66% (168/255)78% (328/418)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.15
xG on target (xGOT)
2.580.82
Total shots
158
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1415
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
66% (168/255)78% (328/418)
Long passes
31% (18/59)40% (22/55)
Passes in final third
62% (48/77)60% (79/131)
Crosses
50% (7/14)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.61
Throw-ins
2432
Fouls
1512
Tackles
38% (5/13)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4363
Clearances
3019
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.822.58
Goals prevented
-0.180.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', Igor Henrique , Miticov ,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Bernardo Schappo , Guilherme Parede (A),
  • 25', Habraao , Zapelli B. ,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Gabriel Poveda , Tiago Pagnussat (A),
  • 34', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
  • 43', Figueiredo T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Guilherme Parede 🟨,
  • 54', Alan Kardec , Renan Peixoto ,
  • 55', Giuliano , Joao Cruz ,
  • 55', Tevis , Isaac ,
  • 66', Junior Todinho , Gustavo Paje ,
  • 66', Guilherme Parede , Gabriel Silva ,
  • 70', Felipinho 🟨,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Zapelli B. (Pen),
  • 79', Raul , Moraes K. ,
  • 79', Dodo , Joao Vieira ,
  • 79', Arilson , Walisson Maia ,

Chances of winning


Vila Nova
35.2%
Draw
33%
Athletico Paranaense
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 30% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 29.8% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Vila Nova - Athletico Paranaense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.6)
    2.83
    (3.13)
    2.93
    (2.76)
    6.8%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Athletico Paranaense?
  • Users Predictions: Vila Nova will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 10).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Vila Nova: Bruno Mendes (Inactive) Davis E. (Knee Injury) Emerson Urso (Inactive) Jean Mota (Inactive) Junior Todinho (Inactive) Labandeira F. (Inactive) Mauricio Kozlinski (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Dudu Kogitzki (Inactive) Leozinho (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Vila Nova: Guilherme Parede (Knee Injury) Lucas Sena (Inactive) Marcondes (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    14.05.2025 Remo - Vila Nova 2:0
    06.05.2025 Athletic Club - Vila Nova 0:1
    01.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Vila Nova 2:0
    25.04.2025 Vila Nova - Chapecoense 1:0
    20.04.2025 Vila Nova - Botafogo SP 2:0
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba20115422:14838
    2Goias19114424:15937
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo2079422:19330
    6Criciuma2085723:18529
    7Cuiaba1984722:22028
    8Avai1977526:20628
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10Operario-PR2075822:20226
    11CRB1974820:18225
    12Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    13Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    14Ferroviaria2058720:22-223
    15Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    16America MG19631020:26-621
    17Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    18Paysandu PA1948718:21-320
    19Amazonas1947818:25-719
    20Botafogo SP1946912:27-1518

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Vila Nova - Athletico Paranaense?
    It is being streamed on channel
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan