Athletico Paranaense vs Vila Nova: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Athletico Paranaense - Vila Nova
Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 27
Athletico Paranaense - Vila Nova - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.08
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
164
Shots on target
60
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
78% (274/352)79% (305/388)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.08
xG on target (xGOT)
3.410.00
Total shots
164
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
80
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
204
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1916
Passes
78% (274/352)79% (305/388)
Long passes
55% (29/53)44% (21/48)
Passes in final third
65% (53/81)55% (40/73)
Crosses
23% (3/13)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.17
Throw-ins
2721
Fouls
1619
Tackles
71% (10/14)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5551
Clearances
1624
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.003.41
Goals prevented
0.001.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Joao Vieira 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Renan Peixoto , Benavidez G. (A),
  • 37', Igor Henrique 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Elias 🟨,
  • 58', Esquivel L. 🟨,
  • 63', Bruno Xavier , Guilherme Parede ,
  • 63', Gabriel Poveda , Andrey L. ,
  • 68', Renan Peixoto , Mendoza S. ,
  • 68', Julimar , Luiz Fernando ,
  • 73', Dudu Kogitzki , Felipinho ,
  • 73', Leozinho , Velasco K. ,
  • 73', Igor Henrique , Enzo ,
  • 76', Weverton 🟨,
  • 78', Mendoza S. 🟨,
  • 80', Dodo , Gustavo Paje ,
  • 80', Higor , Jean Mota ,
  • 80', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 0, Luiz Fernando , Benavidez G. (A),
  • 88', Velasco K. 🟨,
  • 90', Zapelli B. , Giuliano ,

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
59.3%
Draw
25.6%
Vila Nova
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 26.9% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 25.8% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Vila Nova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.7)
    3.63
    (3.5)
    6.33
    (5.35)
    6.3%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Vila Nova?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 12).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Athletico PR is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Belezi (Inactive) Isaac (Inactive) Joao Cruz (Inactive) Patrick (Yellow Cards) Viveros K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Vila Nova: Arilson (Inactive) Emerson Urso (Injury) Marcondes (Knee Injury) Ralf (Inactive) Willian Formiga (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Viveros K. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletico PR won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Vila Nova were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Vila Nova - Athletico Paranaense 2:1
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    13.09.2025 Vila Nova - Remo 1:1
    08.09.2025 Vila Nova - Athletic Club 1:1
    01.09.2025 Chapecoense - Vila Nova 2:2
    25.08.2025 Botafogo SP - Vila Nova 2:0
    16.08.2025 Vila Nova - Goiás 2:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba30158732:191353
    2Goias31149835:28751
    3Criciuma31148940:281250
    4Novorizontino311311733:27650
    5Athletico-PR301461043:39448
    6Chapecoense-SC301451142:301247
    7CRB311441336:31546
    8Cuiaba311210937:35246
    9Atletico GO301112734:28645
    10Remo301112734:28645
    11Avai3111101039:33643
    12Vila Nova FC3110101131:33-240
    13Operario-PR311091232:33-139
    14America MG311071433:37-437
    15Athletic Club311061536:43-736
    16Ferroviaria308121034:39-536
    17Botafogo SP31881526:46-2032
    18Amazonas317101433:47-1431
    19Volta Redonda317101419:34-1531
    20Paysandu PA315111526:37-1126

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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