Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking Stavanger: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Norwegian Eliteserien Sarpsborg 08 - Viking Stavanger
Result
3:3
27/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eliteserien - Round 23
  • Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
Sarpsborg 08 - Viking Stavanger - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.831.93
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1022
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
512
Passes
83% (351/423)80% (321/399)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.831.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.111.74
Total shots
1022
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
110
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
212
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
512
Touches in opposition box
2322
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
83% (351/423)80% (321/399)
Long passes
55% (45/82)32% (17/53)
Passes in final third
66% (86/130)66% (88/133)
Crosses
14% (4/28)30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.721.14
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
1714
Tackles
83% (10/12)86% (12/14)
Duels won
4554
Clearances
2652
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.741.11
Goals prevented
-1.26-1.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Austbo E. , Tripic Z. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Reinhardsen P. ,
  • 40', 1 - 2, Falchener H. , Haugen K. (A),
  • 43', 1 - 3, Christiansen P. , Askildsen K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', Reinhardsen P. , Opoku M. ,
  • 56', Trondsen A. , Gudjohnsen S. ,
  • 56', Jeahze M. , Christiansen S. ,
  • 57', Austbo E. , D'Agostino N. ,
  • 57', Bjorshol S. , Heggheim H. ,
  • 67', Kvia-Egeskog S. , Alte R. ,
  • 67', Christiansen P. , Stensness G. ,
  • 69', Halvorsen V. E. , Bruseth H. ,
  • 75', Bruseth H. 🟨,
  • 86', Wichne E. , Hiim A. ,
  • 89', Askildsen K. , Baertelsen A. ,
  • 90+8', 2 - 3, Gudjohnsen S. ,
  • 90+9', 3 - 3, Opoku M. ,

Chances of winning


Sarpsborg 08
12.1%
Draw
19.3%
Viking Stavanger
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 23.1% 45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5% 22.5% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarpsborg 08's form might have worsened.
  • Viking Stavanger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viking Stavanger's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+18.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarpsborg 08, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viking Stavanger than the current prediction. (-21.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viking Stavanger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sarpsborg 08 - Viking Stavanger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    10.9
    (3.05)
    6.47
    (4.13)
    1.7
    (2.1)
    -16.5%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 - Viking Stavanger?
  • Users Predictions: Viking Stavanger will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Viking Stavanger will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 1.
    • Recent performances by Sarpsborg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Viking is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Viking will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Berget J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Viking: Auklend V. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarpsborg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarpsborg 08 - Viking Stavanger were as follows:
    09.07.2025 Sarpsborg 08 - Viking Stavanger 1:0
    04.05.2025 Viking Stavanger - Sarpsborg 08 0:0
    27.10.2024 Sarpsborg 08 - Viking Stavanger 1:3
    01.04.2024 Viking Stavanger - Sarpsborg 08 1:0
    12.11.2023 Viking Stavanger - Sarpsborg 08 2:1
    Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
    Latest results of Viking Stavanger
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Viking24165358:322653
    2Bodo/Glimt23164361:204152
    3Brann23144542:33946
    4Tromso24143738:29945
    5Sandefjord231111141:35634
    6Rosenborg2397731:31034
    7Valerenga241041039:40-134
    8KFUM Oslo2489737:29833
    9Sarpsborg 082488840:38232
    10Fredrikstad2488830:28232
    11Molde24931234:32230
    12Kristiansund24861028:45-1730
    13HamKam24671128:38-1025
    14Bryne24661228:39-1124
    15Stromsgodset24621632:51-1920
    16Haugesund24132014:61-476

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen

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