Victoria Mboko vs Paula Badosa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis WTA Miami Victoria Mboko - Paula Badosa
Result
1:2
21/03/2025 at 12:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals
Victoria Mboko - Paula Badosa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
45
Double Faults
87
1st Serve Percentage
65%61%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (49/73)72% (42/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (17/39)43% (16/37)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)50% (5/10)
1st Return Points Won
28% (16/58)34% (25/73)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (21/37)56% (22/39)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
58% (65/112)61% (58/95)
Return Points Won
39% (37/95)42% (47/112)
Total Points Won
49% (102/207)51% (105/207)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)67% (10/15)
Return Games Won
33% (5/15)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
55% (17/31)45% (14/31)

Chances of winning


Victoria Mboko
33.4%
Paula Badosa
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 72.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8% 74.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Victoria Mboko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Victoria Mboko's performance.
  • Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paula Badosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Mboko than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Victoria Mboko that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paula Badosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Victoria Mboko - Paula Badosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (3.46)

    1.42
    (1.31)
    5.2%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Victoria Mboko - Paula Badosa?
    The most likely score is 0:2. User prediction is Paula Badosa will win! (8 of 10 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Mboko is ranked WTA: 162. Badosa is ranked WTA: 11.
    • Mboko in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Badosa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Mboko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Badosa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Mboko to win the game is with odds 2.64.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Paula Badosa
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Tomova V.McNally C.2 : 1
    3Ruse G. (Q)Kudermetova P.2 : 1
    4ByeFrech M. (29)
    5Vekic D. (21)Bye
    6Masarova R. (Q)Minnen G. (Q)2 : 1
    7Cirstea S.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    8ByeCollins D. (14)
    9Zheng Q. (9)Bye
    10Davis L.Ito A. (Q)2 : 1
    11Townsend T. (Q)Li A.2 : 1
    12ByePutintseva Y. (19)
    13Fernandez L. (26)Bye
    14Gracheva V.Parks A.1 : 2
    15Zarazua R.Krueger A.0 : 2
    16ByeRybakina E. (7)
    17Gauff C. (3)Bye
    18Kvitova P. (WC)Kenin S.0 : 2
    19Bouzas Maneiro J.Bronzetti L.0 : 2
    20ByeSakkari M. (28)
    21Alexandrova E. (18)Bye
    22Pavlyuchenkova A.Linette M.0 : 2
    23Liu C. (Q)Fruhvirtova L. (Q)1 : 2
    24ByeHaddad Maia B. (16)
    25Kasatkina D. (12)Bye
    26Danilovic O.Baptiste H. (WC)1 : 2
    27Osaka N.Starodubtseva Y. (Q)2 : 1
    28ByeSamsonova L. (24)
    29Jabeur O. (31)Bye
    30Yuan Y.Siniakova K.1 : 2
    31Stefanini L. (Q)Sramkova R.1 : 2
    32ByePaolini J. (6)
    33Navarro E. (8)Bye
    34Ishii S. (WC)Raducanu E.0 : 2
    35Kessler M.Bouzkova M.2 : 1
    36ByeNoskova L. (30)
    37Anisimova A. (17)Bye
    38Sherif M.Sun L.2 : 1
    39Kudermetova V.Wang Xin.2 : 0
    40ByeAndreeva M. (11)
    41Shnaider D. (13)Bye
    42Rakhimova K.Blinkova A.1 : 2
    43Potapova A.Birrell K. (Q/LL)1 : 2
    44ByeKostyuk M. (23)
    45Kalinskaya A. (32)Bye
    46Lamens S.Uchijima M.0 : 2
    47Tomljanovic A. (WC)Pera B. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByePegula J. (4)
    49Keys M. (5)Bye
    50Andreeva E. (WC)Avanesyan E.1 : 2
    51Eala A. (WC)Volynets K.2 : 0
    52ByeOstapenko J. (25)
    53Tauson C. (20)Bye
    54Grant T. C. (WC)Grabher J.0 : 2
    55Osorio C.Mboko V. (WC)1 : 2
    56ByeBadosa P. (10)
    57Muchova K. (15)Bye
    58Kalinina A.Azarenka V.0 : 2
    59Yastremska D.Bencic B.1 : 2
    60ByeSvitolina E. (22)
    61Mertens E. (27)Bye
    62Boulter K.Stearns P.0 : 2
    63Garcia C.Bondar A. (Q)2 : 0
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Tomova V.2 : 0
    2Ruse G.Frech M. (29)2 : 0
    3Vekic D. (21)Masarova R.0 : 2
    4Cirstea S.Collins D. (14)0 : 2
    5Zheng Q. (9)Davis L.2 : 0
    6Townsend T.Putintseva Y. (19)2 : 1
    7Fernandez L. (26)Parks A.2 : 0
    8Krueger A.Rybakina E. (7)2 : 1
    9Gauff C. (3)Kenin S.2 : 0
    10Bronzetti L.Sakkari M. (28)1 : 2
    11Alexandrova E. (18)Linette M.0 : 2
    12Fruhvirtova L.Haddad Maia B. (16)2 : 0
    13Kasatkina D. (12)Baptiste H.1 : 2
    14Osaka N.Samsonova L.2 : 0
    15Jabeur O. (31)Siniakova K.2 : 0
    16Sramkova R.Paolini J. (6)0 : 2
    17Navarro E. (8)Raducanu E.1 : 2
    18Kessler M.Noskova L. (30)2 : 1
    19Anisimova A. (17)Sherif M.2 : 0
    20Kudermetova V.Andreeva M. (11)0 : 2
    21Shnaider D. (13)Blinkova A.0 : 2
    22Birrell K.Kostyuk M. (23)1 : 2
    23Kalinskaya A. (32)Uchijima M.2 : 0
    24Pera B.Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    25Keys M. (5)Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    26Eala A.Ostapenko J. (25)2 : 0
    27Tauson C. (20)Grabher J.2 : 0
    28Mboko V.Badosa P. (10)1 : 2
    29Muchova K. (15)Azarenka V. (RET.)1 : 0
    30Bencic B.Svitolina E. (22)0 : 2
    31Mertens E. (27)Stearns P.2 : 0
    32Garcia C.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Ruse G. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Masarova R.Collins D. (14)1 : 2
    3Zheng Q. (9)Townsend T.2 : 0
    4Fernandez L. (26)Krueger A.0 : 2
    5Gauff C. (3)Sakkari M. (28)2 : 0
    6Linette M.Fruhvirtova L.2 : 0
    7Baptiste H.Osaka N.1 : 2
    8Jabeur O. (RET.) (31)Paolini J. (6)0 : 0
    9Raducanu E.Kessler M. (RET.)1 : 0
    10Anisimova A. (17)Andreeva M. (11)2 : 1
    11Blinkova A.Kostyuk M. (23)0 : 2
    12Kalinskaya A. (32)Pegula J. (4)1 : 2
    13Keys M. (5)Eala A.0 : 2
    14Tauson C. (20)Badosa P. (10)0 : 2
    15Muchova K. (15)Svitolina E. (22)1 : 2
    16Mertens E. (27)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Collins D. (14)2 : 0
    2Zheng Q. (9)Krueger A.2 : 0
    3Gauff C. (3)Linette M.0 : 2
    4Osaka N.Paolini J. (6)1 : 2
    5Raducanu E.Anisimova A. (17)2 : 0
    6Kostyuk M. (23)Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    7Eala A. (WO.)Badosa P. (10)
    8Svitolina E. (22)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Zheng Q. (9)2 : 0
    2Linette M.Paolini J. (6)0 : 2
    3Raducanu E.Pegula J. (4)1 : 2
    4Eala A.Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    2Pegula J. (4)Eala A.2 : 1

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Pegula J. (4)2 : 0
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