Verl vs Ingolstadt: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German 3 Bundesliga Verl - Ingolstadt
Result
2:2
01/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 3. Liga - Round 9
  • Referee: Besong J. (Ger)
Verl - Ingolstadt - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
46
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
910
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
46
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1210
Throw-ins
2337
Fouls
69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Steczyk D. ,
  • 33', Frode L. , Plath M. ,
  • 45+1', Ponath M. , Eisele K. ,
  • 45+3', Scholz J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Steczyk D. 🟨,
  • 56', Plath M. 🟨,
  • 65', Eze J. , Otto Y. ,
  • 65', Steczyk D. , Arweiler J. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Christensen F. , Costly M. (A),
  • 68', Lorenz S. 🟨,
  • 77', Christensen F. , Borchers M. ,
  • 78', Christensen G. , Sekulovic D. ,
  • 79', Besio A. , Stark J. ,
  • 79', Stocker M. , Kijewski N. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Arweiler J. , Otto Y. (A),
  • 90+3', Taz B. , Mannhardt M. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Lorenz S. , Carlsen F. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Verl
44%
Draw
24.5%
Ingolstadt
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 25.2% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 25.3% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Verl's performance.
  • Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Verl that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Verl - Ingolstadt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.36)
    3.82
    (3.6)
    2.96
    (2.5)
    6.9%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Verl - Ingolstadt?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Verl will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Ingolstadt will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Verl: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verl won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Ingolstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Verl will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Verl won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Verl won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Verl - Ingolstadt were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Verl - Ingolstadt 1:4
    19.10.2024 Ingolstadt - Verl 1:1
    17.03.2024 Ingolstadt - Verl 0:1
    14.10.2023 Verl - Ingolstadt 2:2
    05.11.2022 Verl - Ingolstadt 2:1
    Latest results of Verl
    28.09.2025 Jahn Regensburg - Verl 2:0
    21.09.2025 Verl - Energie Cottbus 2:1
    16.09.2025 Verl - Alemannia Aachen 2:1
    13.09.2025 Hoffenheim II - Verl 2:4
    30.08.2025 Verl - Duisburg 2:3
    Latest results of Ingolstadt
    27.09.2025 Duisburg - Ingolstadt 2:1
    17.09.2025 TSV Havelse - Ingolstadt 2:6
    13.09.2025 Ingolstadt - Schweinfurt 2:3
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Duisburg1073022:91324
    2Cottbus1062224:141020
    3VfL Osnabruck1054115:6919
    4Saarbrucken1054119:12719
    5Viktoria Koln1052316:10617
    6Wehen1044214:11316
    7RW Essen1044221:19216
    8Verl1044219:17216
    9Stuttgart II1043312:15-315
    10Hoffenheim II1042420:17314
    11Mannheim1041518:18013
    12Ulm1041517:18-113
    13Munich 18601033414:17-312
    14Ingolstadt1025319:15411
    15Hansa Rostock102538:12-411
    16Aue1032510:16-611
    17Alemannia Aachen1031617:20-310
    18Regensburg102269:16-78
    19TSV Havelse1004611:23-124
    20Schweinfurt101097:27-203

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation

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