Tacoma Defiance vs Ventura County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County
Result
4:6
01/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.042.77
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
810
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
82% (328/398)88% (510/577)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.042.77
xG on target (xGOT)
2.954.80
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
810
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
3029
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
82% (328/398)88% (510/577)
Long passes
45% (25/55)61% (51/84)
Passes in final third
71% (91/128)66% (73/110)
Crosses
39% (7/18)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
2.301.47
Throw-ins
714
Fouls
1313
Tackles
61% (11/18)69% (11/16)
Duels won
3439
Clearances
1827
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
4.802.95
Goals prevented
-1.20-1.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 4)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Kocevski J. , Sullivan N. (A), Vivi Quesada G. (A2)
  • 6', 1 - 1, Gomez S. , Burney L. (A),
  • 19', 1 - 2, Vivi Quesada G. , Kocevski J. (A),
  • 23', Arnold G. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 3, Miller H. , Vanney D. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 4, Kocevski J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Khoury J. , Hassan O. ,
  • 46', Burney L. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 5, Kocevski J. ,
  • 59', Tsukanome Y. , Robles D. ,
  • 60', Burney L. , Lopez A. ,
  • 64', 2 - 5, Gomez S. , Yamada K. (A),
  • 68', Miller H. , Bucknor J. ,
  • 68', Vivi Quesada G. , Ramos R. ,
  • 75', Gaffney C. , Pedder R. ,
  • 76', Arnold G. , Tsakiris M. ,
  • 76', Sousa T. , Diaw B. ,
  • 81', Kocevski J. , Middleby M. ,
  • 81', Sullivan N. , Saribekyan L. ,
  • 85', Alvarez D. 🟨,
  • 87', 3 - 5, Gomez S. ,
  • 87', Hassan O. 🟨,
  • 88', 3 - 6, Musto T. ,
  • 90', 4 - 6, Yamada K. ,
  • 90+1', Saribekyan L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
35.3%
Draw
22.9%
Ventura County
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 23% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 21.9% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.3)
    3.98
    (3.96)
    2.19
    (2.44)
    9.4%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tacoma (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
    • In recent matches, Tacoma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ventura County is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ventura County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 2.5:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    07.03.2025 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 3:2
    20.10.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County 4:0
    18.08.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County 3:2
    31.05.2024 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 3:2
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    Latest results of Ventura County
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2231422554:4648
    2Philadelphia Union II231053548:2643
    3Chicago Fire II221132654:3741
    4New England Revolution II211051540:2741
    5Toronto FC II23914928:3633
    6New York City II23824944:4632
    7Cincinnati 2225701025:3129
    8Columbus Crew 2224131425:4717


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville221142546:2543
    2Chattanooga231043635:3341
    3Orlando City B238221132:4630
    4Carolina Core23644931:3330
    5Crown Legacy23635939:4429
    6Atlanta United 221526829:3425
    7Inter Miami II226041234:5322


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC201222449:2642
    2Ventura County221023744:4037
    3Real Monarchs21843638:3535
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 2228311047:4331
    5Los Angeles FC II238211239:4829
    6Portland Timbers 2227231034:4028
    7Tacoma Defiance217221051:5327


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2231630453:3054
    2Colorado Rapids 2231214645:3442
    3Austin FC II22835629:2835
    4Minnesota 222823936:3731
    5North Texas228311035:4731
    6Houston Dynamo 2237321132:3729
    7Sporting Kansas City II222131621:5511


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2231422554:4648
    2Huntsville221142546:2543
    3Philadelphia Union II231053548:2643
    4Chicago Fire II221132654:3741
    5New England Revolution II211051540:2741
    6Chattanooga231043635:3341
    7Toronto FC II23914928:3633
    8New York City II23824944:4632
    9Orlando City B238221132:4630
    10Carolina Core23644931:3330
    11Crown Legacy23635939:4429
    12Cincinnati 2225701025:3129
    13Atlanta United 221526829:3425
    14Inter Miami II226041234:5322
    15Columbus Crew 2224131425:4717


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2231630453:3054
    2Town FC201222449:2642
    3Colorado Rapids 2231214645:3442
    4Ventura County221023744:4037
    5Real Monarchs21843638:3535
    6Austin FC II22835629:2835
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2228311047:4331
    8Minnesota 222823936:3731
    9North Texas228311035:4731
    10Los Angeles FC II238211239:4829
    11Houston Dynamo 2237321132:3729
    12Portland Timbers 2227231034:4028
    13Tacoma Defiance217221051:5327
    14Sporting Kansas City II222131621:5511

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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