Tacoma Defiance vs Ventura County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County
Result
4:6
01/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.042.77
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
810
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
82% (328/398)88% (510/577)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.042.77
xG on target (xGOT)
2.954.80
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
810
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
3029
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
82% (328/398)88% (510/577)
Long passes
45% (25/55)61% (51/84)
Passes in final third
71% (91/128)66% (73/110)
Crosses
39% (7/18)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
2.301.47
Throw-ins
714
Fouls
1313
Tackles
61% (11/18)69% (11/16)
Duels won
3439
Clearances
1827
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
4.802.95
Goals prevented
-1.20-1.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 4)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Kocevski J. , Sullivan N. (A), Vivi Quesada G. (A2)
  • 6', 1 - 1, Gomez S. , Burney L. (A),
  • 19', 1 - 2, Vivi Quesada G. , Kocevski J. (A),
  • 23', Arnold G. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 3, Miller H. , Vanney D. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 4, Kocevski J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Khoury J. , Hassan O. ,
  • 46', Burney L. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 5, Kocevski J. ,
  • 59', Tsukanome Y. , Robles D. ,
  • 60', Burney L. , Lopez A. ,
  • 64', 2 - 5, Gomez S. , Yamada K. (A),
  • 68', Miller H. , Bucknor J. ,
  • 68', Vivi Quesada G. , Ramos R. ,
  • 75', Gaffney C. , Pedder R. ,
  • 76', Arnold G. , Tsakiris M. ,
  • 76', Sousa T. , Diaw B. ,
  • 81', Kocevski J. , Middleby M. ,
  • 81', Sullivan N. , Saribekyan L. ,
  • 85', Alvarez D. 🟨,
  • 87', 3 - 5, Gomez S. ,
  • 87', Hassan O. 🟨,
  • 88', 3 - 6, Musto T. ,
  • 90', 4 - 6, Yamada K. ,
  • 90+1', Saribekyan L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
35.3%
Draw
22.9%
Ventura County
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 23% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 21.9% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.3)
    3.98
    (3.96)
    2.19
    (2.44)
    9.4%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tacoma (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
    • In recent matches, Tacoma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ventura County is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ventura County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 2.5:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    07.03.2025 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 3:2
    20.10.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County 4:0
    18.08.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County 3:2
    31.05.2024 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 3:2
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    Latest results of Ventura County
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2201222449:4242
    2Philadelphia Union II191052245:1742
    3Chicago Fire II191022549:3336
    4New England Revolution II18841531:2233
    5Toronto FC II20804824:3128
    6New York City II20723837:4028
    7Cincinnati 219470819:2426
    8Columbus Crew 2193121320:4113


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville18932439:1935
    2Chattanooga20833631:3133
    3Carolina Core20544726:2727
    4Orlando City B207211027:4126
    5Crown Legacy20535730:3926
    6Inter Miami II206031132:4521
    7Atlanta United 218326724:3119


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County191013540:3235
    2Town FC17922442:2433
    3Real Monarchs18643531:3229
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 219731841:3628
    5Portland Timbers 219622930:3624
    6Tacoma Defiance18621945:4823
    7Los Angeles FC II196211031:4123


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2191320441:2543
    2Colorado Rapids 2201013638:3135
    3Austin FC II19734525:2231
    4North Texas19821833:3929
    5Minnesota 219713830:3126
    6Houston Dynamo 220632929:3126
    7Sporting Kansas City II192131318:4611


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2201222449:4242
    2Philadelphia Union II191052245:1742
    3Chicago Fire II191022549:3336
    4Huntsville18932439:1935
    5New England Revolution II18841531:2233
    6Chattanooga20833631:3133
    7Toronto FC II20804824:3128
    8New York City II20723837:4028
    9Carolina Core20544726:2727
    10Orlando City B207211027:4126
    11Crown Legacy20535730:3926
    12Cincinnati 219470819:2426
    13Inter Miami II206031132:4521
    14Atlanta United 218326724:3119
    15Columbus Crew 2193121320:4113


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2191320441:2543
    2Ventura County191013540:3235
    3Colorado Rapids 2201013638:3135
    4Town FC17922442:2433
    5Austin FC II19734525:2231
    6North Texas19821833:3929
    7Real Monarchs18643531:3229
    8Vancouver Whitecaps 219731841:3628
    9Minnesota 219713830:3126
    10Houston Dynamo 220632929:3126
    11Portland Timbers 219622930:3624
    12Tacoma Defiance18621945:4823
    13Los Angeles FC II196211031:4123
    14Sporting Kansas City II192131318:4611

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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