North Texas vs Ventura County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro North Texas - Ventura County
Result
2:1 penalties
06/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
North Texas - Ventura County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.911.42
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1420
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
87
Passes
87% (361/414)81% (303/373)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.911.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.731.36
Total shots
1420
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
48
Shots inside the Box
615
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
1623
Accurate through passes
22
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
612
Passes
87% (361/414)81% (303/373)
Long passes
56% (29/52)48% (37/77)
Passes in final third
75% (82/109)63% (60/95)
Crosses
23% (6/26)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.84
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
136
Tackles
60% (9/15)55% (6/11)
Duels won
3236
Clearances
2316
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.360.73
Goals prevented
0.36-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Molina M. , Molomo Z. ,
  • 47', 0 - 1, Vivi Quesada G. , Vanney M. (A),
  • 55', Essel A. 🟨,
  • 58', Saribekyan L. 🟨,
  • 61', 🟨,
  • 62', Sangare F. , Salazar C. ,
  • 63', Baran D. , Sedeh S. ,
  • 69', Preston E. , Coreas C. ,
  • 75', Garcia V. , Karani S. ,
  • 78', Saribekyan L. , Koreniuk K. ,
  • 78', Vanney M. , Luna I. ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Essel A. , DuBois J. (A), Contreras J. (A2)
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Musto T. (Pen),
  • 1, Urzua A. (Pen),
  • 2, Arnold G. (Pen),
  • 2, Essel A. (Pen),
  • 3, Karani S. (Pen),
  • 3, Swann C. (Pen),
  • 4, Bucknor J. (Pen),
  • 4, Salazar C. (Pen),
  • 5, Vivi Quesada G. (Pen),
  • 5, Contreras J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


North Texas
39.4%
Draw
24.2%
Ventura County
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 23.9% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 23.4% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Texas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Texas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ventura County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • North Texas - Ventura County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.07)
    3.79
    (3.84)
    2.51
    (2.87)
    9.1%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ventura County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Texas - Ventura County were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Ventura County - North Texas 0:1
    11.09.2024 Ventura County - North Texas 1:3
    Latest results of North Texas
    Latest results of Ventura County
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    4New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    5Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    6New York City II248241044:4932
    7Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    8Columbus Crew 2245131533:5420


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville231142646:2743
    2Chattanooga231043635:3341
    3Orlando City B249221133:4633
    4Carolina Core24744935:3633
    5Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    6Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    7Inter Miami II246041435:6122


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC231242551:2946
    2Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    3Ventura County241024845:4238
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    5Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    6Portland Timbers 2247241137:4629
    7Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    3Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    4North Texas249411037:4836
    5Austin FC II24835829:3035
    6Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    7Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Huntsville231142646:2743
    4Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    5New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    6Chattanooga231043635:3341
    7Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    8Orlando City B249221133:4633
    9Carolina Core24744935:3633
    10New York City II248241044:4932
    11Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    12Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    13Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    14Inter Miami II246041435:6122
    15Columbus Crew 2245131533:5420


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Town FC231242551:2946
    3Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    4Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    5Ventura County241024845:4238
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    7Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    8North Texas249411037:4836
    9Austin FC II24835829:3035
    10Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    11Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    12Portland Timbers 2247241137:4629
    13Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927
    14Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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