North Texas vs Ventura County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

06/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Choctaw Stadium (Arlington, TX).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	1.42
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
14	20
Shots on target
3	7
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
8	7
Passes
87% (361/414)	81% (303/373)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	1.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.73	1.36
Total shots
14	20
Shots on target
3	7
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked Shots
4	8
Shots inside the Box
6	15
Shots outside the Box
8	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
8	7
Touches in opposition box
16	23
Accurate through passes
2	2
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
6	12
Passes
87% (361/414)	81% (303/373)
Long passes
56% (29/52)	48% (37/77)
Passes in final third
75% (82/109)	63% (60/95)
Crosses
23% (6/26)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.01	0.84
Throw-ins
18	17
Fouls
13	6
Tackles
60% (9/15)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
32	36
Clearances
23	16
Interceptions
8	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	2
xGOT faced
1.36	0.73
Goals prevented
0.36	-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Molina M. ↓, Molomo Z. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Vivi Quesada G. ⚽, Vanney M. (A),
55', Essel A. 🟨,
58', Saribekyan L. 🟨,
61', 🟨,
62', Sangare F. ↓, Salazar C. ↑,
63', Baran D. ↓, Sedeh S. ↑,
69', Preston E. ↓, Coreas C. ↑,
75', Garcia V. ↓, Karani S. ↑,
78', Saribekyan L. ↓, Koreniuk K. ↑,
78', Vanney M. ↓, Luna I. ↑,
86', 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Essel A. ⚽, DuBois J. (A), Contreras J. (A2)
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Musto T. (Pen),
1, Urzua A. (Pen),
2, Arnold G. (Pen),
2, Essel A. (Pen),
3, Karani S. (Pen),
3, Swann C. (Pen),
4, Bucknor J. (Pen),
4, Salazar C. (Pen),
5, Vivi Quesada G. (Pen),
5, Contreras J. (Pen),

Chances of winning

North Texas
39.4%

Draw
24.2%

Ventura County
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

23.9%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

23.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Texas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Texas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ventura County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

North Texas - Ventura County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.07)	3.79 ↓ (3.84)	2.51 ↓ (2.87)	9.1% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Ventura County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has North Texas won against Ventura County?

North Texas has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ventura County won against North Texas?

Ventura County has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between North Texas - Ventura County were as follows:

31.08.2025 Ventura County - North Texas 0:1

11.09.2024 Ventura County - North Texas 1:3

Latest results of North Texas

31.08.2025 Ventura County - North Texas 0:1 ✺

24.08.2025 North Texas - Los Angeles II 0:4 ✺

16.08.2025 North Texas - St. Louis City 2 1:3 ✺

08.08.2025 Austin II - North Texas 1:2 ✺

02.08.2025 North Texas - Colorado Rapids 2 1:4 ✺

Latest results of Ventura County

31.08.2025 Ventura County - North Texas 0:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Austin II - Ventura County 2:1 ✺

15.08.2025 The Town - Ventura County 4:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Ventura County - Portland Timbers 2 3:2 ✺

01.08.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County 4:6 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	26	16	2	3	5	65:53	55
2	Philadelphia Union II	27	14	5	3	5	60:31	55
3	New England Revolution II	27	13	5	2	7	49:35	51
4	Chicago Fire II	27	12	4	2	9	66:55	46
5	Toronto FC II	27	10	2	4	11	33:40	38
6	New York City II	27	9	2	4	12	50:57	35
7	Cincinnati 2	26	7	7	0	12	34:39	35
8	Columbus Crew 2	27	5	1	4	17	37:61	21

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	27	13	4	2	8	53:32	49
2	Chattanooga	26	12	4	4	6	40:35	48
3	Carolina Core	27	8	5	5	9	42:41	39
4	Atlanta United 2	26	9	2	6	9	43:41	37
5	Orlando City B	27	9	4	2	12	37:51	37
6	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
7	Inter Miami II	27	6	1	5	15	38:67	25

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	26	13	4	2	7	56:33	49
2	Real Monarchs	27	12	4	4	7	51:41	48
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	26	11	4	1	10	59:48	42
4	Ventura County	27	11	2	4	10	48:49	41
5	Portland Timbers 2	27	9	2	4	12	45:53	35
6	Tacoma Defiance	27	9	2	2	14	57:66	33
7	Los Angeles FC II	27	9	2	2	14	45:57	33

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	27	17	5	1	4	59:35	62
2	Colorado Rapids 2	27	14	1	4	8	53:40	48
3	Minnesota 2	27	11	2	4	10	42:41	41
4	North Texas	27	10	4	2	11	42:54	40
5	Austin FC II	27	9	3	5	10	33:35	38
6	Houston Dynamo 2	27	9	4	2	12	39:42	37
7	Sporting Kansas City II	27	3	2	4	18	29:64	17

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2 ✔	26	16	2	3	5	65:53	55
2	Philadelphia Union II ✔	27	14	5	3	5	60:31	55
3	New England Revolution II ✔	27	13	5	2	7	49:35	51
4	Huntsville ✔	27	13	4	2	8	53:32	49
5	Chattanooga ✔	26	12	4	4	6	40:35	48
6	Chicago Fire II ✔	27	12	4	2	9	66:55	46
7	Carolina Core	27	8	5	5	9	42:41	39
8	Toronto FC II	27	10	2	4	11	33:40	38
9	Atlanta United 2	26	9	2	6	9	43:41	37
10	Orlando City B	27	9	4	2	12	37:51	37
11	New York City II	27	9	2	4	12	50:57	35
12	Cincinnati 2	26	7	7	0	12	34:39	35
13	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
14	Inter Miami II	27	6	1	5	15	38:67	25
15	Columbus Crew 2	27	5	1	4	17	37:61	21

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2 ✔	27	17	5	1	4	59:35	62
2	Town FC ✔	26	13	4	2	7	56:33	49
3	Colorado Rapids 2 ✔	27	14	1	4	8	53:40	48
4	Real Monarchs ✔	27	12	4	4	7	51:41	48
5	Vancouver Whitecaps 2 ✔	26	11	4	1	10	59:48	42
6	Minnesota 2 ✔	27	11	2	4	10	42:41	41
7	Ventura County ✔	27	11	2	4	10	48:49	41
8	North Texas	27	10	4	2	11	42:54	40
9	Austin FC II	27	9	3	5	10	33:35	38
10	Houston Dynamo 2	27	9	4	2	12	39:42	37
11	Portland Timbers 2	27	9	2	4	12	45:53	35
12	Tacoma Defiance	27	9	2	2	14	57:66	33
13	Los Angeles FC II	27	9	2	2	14	45:57	33
14	Sporting Kansas City II	27	3	2	4	18	29:64	17

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Huntsville is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Real Monarchs is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ventura County is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of North Texas - Ventura County?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: