Result
2:1
02/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (417/513) | 56% (124/222) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (417/513) | 56% (124/222) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 31% (21/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (108/156) | 54% (44/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (8/39) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.52 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 66 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 57 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Baeza C. 🟨,
- 30', Sosa I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 1, Fernandez L. ⚽, Cabrera J. (A),
- 55', Lagos A. 🟨,
- 56', Silvera M. ↓, Machado A. ↑,
- 56', Cabrera J. ↓, Mayada C. ↑,
- 57', Baez J. 🟨,
- 67', Baez J. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 67', Machuca I. ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
- 76', Ordonez C. ↓, Santos M. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Carrizo M. ⚽, Gomez E. (A),
- 85', Sosa I. ↓, Remedi E. ↑,
- 85', Fernandez L. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 86', Lagos A. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
- 86', Baeza C. ↓, Vazquez K. A. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Montoro A. ⚽,
- 90+6', Montoro A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
49.5% | Draw
29.7% | Peñarol de Montevideo
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Vélez Sársfield - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(1.96) |
3.16 ↑
(3.13) |
4.52 ↑
(4.26) |
6.4%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Peñarol de Montevideo?
The most likely score is 1:0.
User prediction is Vélez Sársfield will win! (26 of 27 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Vélez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Peñarol is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Peñarol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Vélez have a series of home games.
- In this match Vélez is a favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vélez won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Vélez Sársfield has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Vélez Sársfield?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. De Chile | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate ✔ | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Cordoba | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo ✔ | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion ✔ | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | Talleres Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club ✔ | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:3 | 10 | 10 |
| 2 | Fortaleza ✔ | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga ✔ | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 4 | Colo Colo | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:15 | -11 | 2 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Internacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Bahia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras ✔ | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Penarol ✔ | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | SA Bulo Bulo ✔ | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
River Plate is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Libertad Asuncion is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Racing Club is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Fortaleza is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Bucaramanga is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Penarol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
SA Bulo Bulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Vélez Sársfield - Peñarol de Montevideo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
 Argentina | Disney+, Fox Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | ESPN |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | beIN Sports, LaLiga+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | ESPN, Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
