Result
0:1
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (356/407) | 85% (321/377) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (356/407) | 85% (321/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (15/28) | 48% (20/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (73/96) | 80% (116/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/25) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Lucas Freitas ↓, Luiz Gustavo ↑,
- 42', Augusto L. ↓, Garre B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', Luiz Gustavo 🟨,
- 58', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
- 60', Felipe Anderson ↓, Allan ↑,
- 60', Torres F. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 60', 0 - 1, Vitor Roque ⚽, Estevao (A),
- 67', Tche Tche ↓, Adson ↑,
- 67', Moreira N. ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
- 75', Vitor Roque ↓, Flaco Lopez ↑,
- 81', Rios R. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 81', Estevao ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
- 83', Mateus Carvalho ↓, Alex Teixeira ↑,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
16.3% | Draw
26.3% | Palmeiras
57.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palmeiras's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmeiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.65 ↑
(4.3) |
3.62 ↑
(3.36) |
1.66 ↓
(1.9) |
5.4%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 0.
- Vasco has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Palmeiras is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Palmeiras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Palmeiras is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Vasco: Guilherme Estrella
(Knee Injury)
Lemos M.
(Injury)
Payet D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Mayke
(Hamstring Injury)
Micael
(Ankle Injury)
Raphael Veiga
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Marcos Rocha
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Palmeiras?
Vasco da Gama has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Vasco da Gama?
Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras were as follows:
22.09.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Palmeiras
0:1
13.06.2024
Palmeiras
-
Vasco da Gama
2:0
27.08.2023
Palmeiras
-
Vasco da Gama
1:0
23.04.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Palmeiras
2:2
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34:15 | 19 | 41 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 24 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
