Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras
Result
0:1
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 7
  • Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.691.13
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
711
Passes
87% (356/407)85% (321/377)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.691.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.390.83
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
411
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
711
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
711
Touches in opposition box
1927
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
811
Passes
87% (356/407)85% (321/377)
Long passes
54% (15/28)48% (20/42)
Passes in final third
76% (73/96)80% (116/145)
Crosses
8% (2/25)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.491.22
Throw-ins
1415
Fouls
118
Tackles
75% (15/20)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4445
Clearances
3622
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.830.39
Goals prevented
-0.170.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Lucas Freitas , Luiz Gustavo ,
  • 42', Augusto L. , Garre B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', Luiz Gustavo 🟨,
  • 58', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
  • 60', Felipe Anderson , Allan ,
  • 60', Torres F. , Paulinho ,
  • 60', 0 - 1, Vitor Roque , Estevao (A),
  • 67', Tche Tche , Adson ,
  • 67', Moreira N. , Paulinho Paula ,
  • 75', Vitor Roque , Flaco Lopez ,
  • 81', Rios R. , Moreno A. ,
  • 81', Estevao , Lucas Evangelista ,
  • 83', Mateus Carvalho , Alex Teixeira ,

Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
16.3%
Draw
26.3%
Palmeiras
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22% 28.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22% 28% 50%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.
  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palmeiras's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmeiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.65
    (4.3)
    3.62
    (3.36)
    1.66
    (1.9)
    5.4%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 0.
    • Vasco has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Palmeiras is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Palmeiras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Palmeiras is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Vasco: Guilherme Estrella (Knee Injury) Lemos M. (Injury) Payet D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Mayke (Hamstring Injury) Micael (Ankle Injury) Raphael Veiga (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Palmeiras: Marcos Rocha (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras 0:1
    13.06.2024 Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama 2:0
    27.08.2023 Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama 1:0
    23.04.2023 Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras 2:2
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    30.04.2025 Ceará - Palmeiras 0:1
    27.04.2025 Palmeiras - Bahia 0:1
    24.04.2025 Bolívar - Palmeiras 2:3
    20.04.2025 Fortaleza - Palmeiras 1:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1655616:22-620
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
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