Olimpia Asuncion vs Vasco da Gama: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Sudamericana
Result
3:1
20/05/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
Olimpia Asuncion - Vasco da Gama - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.460.46
Ball possession
76%24%
Total shots
306
Shots on target
92
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
123
Passes
88% (524/597)65% (125/192)
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
2.460.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.480.51
Total shots
306
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
113
Blocked shots
101
Shots inside the box
224
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
123
Touches in opposition box
5316
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
53
Passes
88% (524/597)65% (125/192)
Long passes
62% (24/39)29% (14/49)
Passes in final third
78% (145/186)50% (24/48)
Crosses
29% (13/45)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.590.34
Throw ins
2410
Fouls
35
Tackles
60% (9/15)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4736
Clearances
1354
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
17
xGOT faced
0.512.48
Goals prevented
-0.49-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+2', Franco Zayas A. F. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 🟥,
  • 45+4', 0 - 1, Cuesta C. ⚽, Moreira N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 65', Tche Tche 🟨,
  • 66', Cardozo F. ↓, Alfonso F. ↑,
  • 66', Franco Zayas A. F. ↓, Lezcano R. ↑,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Gamarra M. ⚽, Quintana H. (A),
  • 68', Bentaberry B. 🟨,
  • 69', Ramon Rique ↓, Walace Fernandes ↑,
  • 69', David ↓, Brenner ↑,
  • 69', Moreira N. ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
  • 72', Joao Vitor 🟥,
  • 78', Delmas E. ↓, Sandoval H. ↑,
  • 78', Hinestroza M. ↓, JP ↑,
  • 81', Hugo Moura 🟨,
  • 85', Riquelme Avellar ↓, Samuel ↑,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Sandoval H. ⚽,
  • 87', Leo Jardim 🟨,
  • 90+2', Lucas Freitas 🟨,
  • 90+3', Alcaraz A. ↓, Ferreira S. ↑,
  • 90+4', 3 - 1, Ferreira S. ⚽, Sandoval H. (A),

Chances of winning


Olimpia Asuncion
44.7%		Draw
29.9%		Vasco da Gama
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.3% 30.4% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5% 30.6% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Asuncion's performance.
  • Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasco da Gama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Asuncion that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Olimpia Asuncion - Vasco da Gama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.15 ↓
    (3.06)    		 3.16 ↑
    (3.05)    		 3.73 ↑
    (2.37)    		 5.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Olimpia Asuncion - Vasco da Gama?
    • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Olimpia: 29% – 96%.
      •
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Olimpia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Olimpia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Olimpia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Asuncion - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
    30.04.2026 Vasco da Gama - Olimpia Asuncion 3:0
    Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
    15.05.2026 Olimpia Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta 3:2 ✺
    10.05.2026 Sportivo San Lorenzo - Olimpia Asuncion 1:0 ✺
    06.05.2026 Barracas Central - Olimpia Asuncion 1:2 ✺
    03.05.2026 Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano 1:1 ✺
    30.04.2026 Vasco da Gama - Olimpia Asuncion 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    16.05.2026 Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama 4:1 ✺
    13.05.2026 Vasco da Gama - Paysandu 2:2 ✺
    10.05.2026 Vasco da Gama - Athletico Paranaense 1:0 ✺
    06.05.2026 Audax Italiano - Vasco da Gama 1:2 ✺
    03.05.2026 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 2:2 ✺
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Macara62406:3310
    2Tigre62318:539
    3America De Cali62316:519
    4Alianza Atl60242:9-72


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atletico-MG63128:6210
    2Cienciano62225:7-28
    3Juventud614110:737
    4Puerto Cabello62136:9-37


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo63306:1512
    2O'Higgins63128:6210
    3Millonarios62227:708
    4Boston River61055:12-73


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Recoleta61506:518
    2Santos61418:627
    3San Lorenzo61416:517
    4Dep. Cuenca61323:7-46


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Botafogo RJ651015:51016
    2Caracas62319:909
    3Racing Club622211:928
    4Independiente60063:15-120


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City641111:5613
    2Gremio63218:3511
    3Dep. Riestra61234:10-65
    4Palestino60331:6-53


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion641110:6413
    2Vasco631210:6410
    3A. Italiano62137:9-27
    4Barracas Central60332:8-63


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate64209:3614
    2Bragantino631212:5710
    3Carabobo63036:519
    4Blooming60153:17-141

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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