Audax Italiano vs Vasco da Gama: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:2
06/05/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
Audax Italiano - Vasco da Gama - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.382.82
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
1020
Shots on target
39
Big chances
07
Corner kicks
56
Passes
77% (244/315)83% (310/375)
Yellow cards
34
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.382.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.142.30
Total shots
1020
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
56
Blocked shots
25
Shots inside the box
314
Shots outside the box
76
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
07
Corner kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1126
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
916
Passes
77% (244/315)83% (310/375)
Long passes
46% (27/59)55% (21/38)
Passes in final third
65% (53/82)68% (58/85)
Crosses
5% (1/19)32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.221.38
Throw ins
2622
Fouls
169
Tackles
50% (9/18)63% (10/16)
Duels won
3668
Clearances
2733
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
73
xGOT faced
2.300.14
Goals prevented
0.300.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Saldivia A. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Tche Tche , Ramon Rique ,
  • 46', JP , Matheus Franca ,
  • 51', Ahumada T. 🟨,
  • 53', Collao M. 🟨,
  • 57', Matheus Franca 🟨,
  • 62', Ortiz M. 🟥,
  • 63', Fuentes M. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Spinelli C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 71', 1 - 2, Matheus Franca , Moreira N. (A),
  • 72', Zenteno V. , Rojas Munoz O. J. ,
  • 76', Cauan Barros 🟨,
  • 77', Lucas Piton 🟨,
  • 83', Sandoval M. , Loyola F. ,
  • 83', Fuentes M. , Fuenzalida I. ,
  • 83', Chiaverano G. , Cabral R. ,
  • 89', Hinestroza M. , Lukas Zuccarello ,
  • 89', Lucas Piton , Walace Fernandes ,
  • 89', Moreira N. , Riquelme Avellar ,
  • 90', Collao M. , Coelho D. ,
  • 90+6', Saldivia A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Audax Italiano
29.7%
Draw
30.1%
Vasco da Gama
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 29% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 30.1% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Audax Italiano's form might have worsened.
  • Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasco da Gama's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audax Italiano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Audax Italiano - Vasco da Gama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.16
    (2.5)
    3.13
    (3.25)
    2.37
    (2.84)
    5.8%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Audax Italiano - Vasco da Gama?
    • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Audax Italiano will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Vasco will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7%80.9%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vasco da Gama will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Audax Italiano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vasco is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Audax Italiano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Audax Italiano - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
    14.04.2026 Vasco da Gama - Audax Italiano 1:2
    Latest results of Audax Italiano
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Macara42206:338
    2America De Cali42115:417
    3Tigre41215:415
    4Alianza Atl40132:7-51


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano42114:407
    2Puerto Cabello42025:7-26
    3Juventud41218:535
    4Atletico-MG41125:6-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo42203:038
    2O'Higgins42114:227
    3Millonarios42115:417
    4Boston River40042:8-60


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Lorenzo41304:226
    2Dep. Cuenca41211:2-15
    3Recoleta40403:304
    4Santos40313:4-13


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Botafogo RJ43109:4510
    2Caracas42206:428
    3Racing Club41127:704
    4Independiente40043:10-70


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City43015:239
    2Gremio42114:137
    3Dep. Riestra41122:5-34
    4Palestino40220:3-32


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vasco42116:337
    2Olimpia Asuncion42114:407
    3A. Italiano41124:6-24
    4Barracas Central40312:3-13


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate43105:2310
    2Carabobo42024:316
    3Bragantino42029:456
    4Blooming40133:12-91

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Audax Italiano - Vasco da Gama?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
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    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
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