Result
1:2
06/05/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 2.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (244/315) | 83% (310/375) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 2.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 2.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (244/315) | 83% (310/375) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (27/59) | 55% (21/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (53/82) | 68% (58/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/19) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Saldivia A. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Tche Tche ↓, Ramon Rique ↑,
- 46', JP ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
- 51', Ahumada T. 🟨,
- 53', Collao M. 🟨,
- 57', Matheus Franca 🟨,
- 62', Ortiz M. 🟥,
- 63', Fuentes M. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 1, Spinelli C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 71', 1 - 2, Matheus Franca ⚽, Moreira N. (A),
- 72', Zenteno V. ↓, Rojas Munoz O. J. ↑,
- 76', Cauan Barros 🟨,
- 77', Lucas Piton 🟨,
- 83', Sandoval M. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
- 83', Fuentes M. ↓, Fuenzalida I. ↑,
- 83', Chiaverano G. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
- 89', Hinestroza M. ↓, Lukas Zuccarello ↑,
- 89', Lucas Piton ↓, Walace Fernandes ↑,
- 89', Moreira N. ↓, Riquelme Avellar ↑,
- 90', Collao M. ↓, Coelho D. ↑,
- 90+6', Saldivia A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Audax Italiano 29.7% | Draw 30.1% | Vasco da Gama 40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Audax Italiano's form might have worsened.Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasco da Gama's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audax Italiano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Audax Italiano - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.16 ↑ (2.5) |
3.13 ↓ (3.25) |
2.37 ↓ (2.84) |
5.8% (6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Audax Italiano - Vasco da Gama?
- Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Audax Italiano will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Vasco will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vasco da Gama will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Audax Italiano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vasco is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Audax Italiano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Audax Italiano won against Vasco da Gama?
Audax Italiano has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Audax Italiano?
Vasco da Gama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Audax Italiano - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
14.04.2026
Vasco da Gama
-
Audax Italiano
1:2
Latest results of Audax Italiano
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Macara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Tigre | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 2 | Puerto Cabello | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 3 | Juventud | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 5 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Boston River | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Dep. Cuenca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 5 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Santos | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Caracas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Independiente | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Palestino | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 2 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vasco | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Olimpia Asuncion | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Barracas Central | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Blooming | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:12 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Audax Italiano - Vasco da Gama?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Brazil | Paramount+ |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Colombia | DSports |
Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | Como TV |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Uruguay | DSPORTS+ Plus |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | DSPORTS+ Plus |