Athletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa do Brasil Athletico Paranaense - Vasco da Gama
Result
2:2 penalties
11/09/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Copa do Brasil - Quarter-finals
Athletico Paranaense - Vasco da Gama - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
69%31%
Goal Attempts
197
Shots on Goal
72
Shots off Goal
45
Blocked Shots
80
Free Kicks
1514
Corner Kicks
71
Offsides
33
Throw-ins
188
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Fouls
1114
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
42
Total Passes
503190
Completed Passes
420132
Attacks
12062
Dangerous Attacks
8217

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Cuello , Esquivel L. (A),
  • 26', Kaique Rocha 🟨,
  • 28', Madson 🟨,
  • 30', Sforza J. 🟨,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Zapelli B. , Cuello (A),
  • 42', Rayan Vitor 🟥,
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Vegetti P. , Lucas Piton (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Payet D. , Rodriguez E. ,
  • 48', Zapelli B. 🟨,
  • 62', David , Leandrinho ,
  • 67', Zapelli B. , Joao Cruz ,
  • 69', Souza 🟨,
  • 77', Christian , Pablo ,
  • 77', Erick , Madson ,
  • 78', Thiago Heleno , Gamarra M. ,
  • 79', Lucas Piton , Mateus Carvalho ,
  • 79', Hugo Moura , Victor Luis ,
  • 90+2', Gonzalo Mastriani 🟨,
  • 90+4', Paulo Henrique , Rodriguez J. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Pablo (Pen),
  • 1, Sforza J. (Pen),
  • 2, Gonzalo Mastriani (Pen),
  • 2, Rodriguez J. (Pen),
  • 3, Canobbio A. (Pen),
  • 3, Victor Luis (Pen),
  • 4, Madson (Pen),
  • 4, Mateus Carvalho (Pen),
  • 5, Joao Cruz (Pen),
  • 5, Vegetti P. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
55.1%
Draw
25.4%
Vasco da Gama
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 26.2% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 26.1% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Vasco da Gama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.79)
    3.7
    (3.56)
    4.84
    (4.28)
    6%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Vasco da Gama?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Vasco will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 2.
    • Athletico PR is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Vasco is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Athletico PR is a favorite.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
    29.08.2024 Vasco da Gama - Athletico Paranaense 2:1
    26.08.2024 Vasco da Gama - Athletico Paranaense 2:1
    05.05.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Vasco da Gama 1:0
    25.11.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Vasco da Gama 0:0
    23.07.2023 Vasco da Gama - Athletico Paranaense 0:2
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1SantosBye
    4ByeCRB
    5CruzeiroBye
    7Inter de LimeiraVila Nova FC0 : 1
    8Rio Branco-VNAmazonas1 : 0
    9Maringa FCJuventude1 : 0
    10Uniao CarmolandenseAmerica RN4 : 2
    11TocantinopolisAtletico-MG0 : 2
    12IndependenciaManaus1 : 2
    13ConcordiaPonte Preta2 : 1
    14PortuguesaBotafogo PB1 : 2
    16ByeFlamengo RJ
    17Operario VGSport Recife1 : 0
    18Rio Branco ESNovorizontino1 : 3
    20ByeCorinthians
    21SergipeCeara0 : 2
    22ParnahybaConfianca0 : 5
    24ByePalmeiras
    25Sao PauloBye
    27MaranhaoVitoria0 : 1
    28Santa Cruz de NatalNautico0 : 4
    29TremBrusque0 : 2
    30OlariaABC1 : 0
    31Pouso AlegreAthletico-PR0 : 2
    32Guarany de BageAE Altos2 : 1
    33Tuna LusoSampaio Correa1 : 0
    34BoavistaCSA0 : 2
    35Sao Raimundo RRGremio1 : 2
    36BarcelonaAthletic Club1 : 2
    37HumaitaOperario-PR0 : 1
    38CSETombense1 : 3
    39Uniao RondonopolisVasco0 : 3
    40Barcelona RONova Iguacu1 : 4
    41Botafogo RJBye
    43Porto VelhoCuiaba1 : 0
    44CapitalPortuguesa RJ1 : 0
    45Operario MSCriciuma0 : 1
    46GASRemo0 : 4
    47SousaBragantino1 : 2
    48OratorioEC Sao Jose1 : 3
    49Aguia De MarabaFluminense0 : 8
    50DouradosSER Caxias0 : 2
    51CascavelAmerica MG1 : 0
    52VotuporanguenseAparecidense2 : 3
    53InternacionalBye
    55CeilandiaCoritiba3 : 2
    56MaracanaFerroviario2 : 1
    57ASAAtletico GO1 : 2
    58JequieRetro1 : 2
    60ByeFortaleza
    61Paysandu PABye
    64ByeBahia

    1/32-finals
    1SantosBye
    2ByeCRB
    3CruzeiroBye
    4Vila Nova FCRio Branco-VN6 : 0
    5Maringa FCUniao Carmolandense4 : 2
    6Atletico-MGManaus4 : 1
    7ConcordiaBotafogo PB0 : 4
    8ByeFlamengo RJ
    9Operario VGNovorizontino0 : 1
    10ByeCorinthians
    11CearaConfianca3 : 2
    12ByePalmeiras
    13Sao PauloBye
    14VitoriaNautico0 : 2
    15BrusqueOlaria2 : 1
    16Athletico-PRGuarany de Bage3 : 1
    17Tuna LusoCSA0 : 5
    18GremioAthletic Club4 : 3
    19Operario-PRTombense1 : 0
    20VascoNova Iguacu3 : 0
    21Botafogo RJBye
    22Porto VelhoCapital1 : 3
    23CriciumaRemo2 : 1
    24BragantinoEC Sao Jose2 : 1
    25FluminenseSER Caxias2 : 1
    26CascavelAparecidense0 : 1
    27InternacionalBye
    28CeilandiaMaracana0 : 1
    29Atletico GORetro1 : 2
    30ByeFortaleza
    31Paysandu PABye
    32ByeBahia

    1/16-finals
    1SantosCRB0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2CruzeiroVila Nova FC3 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Maringa FCAtletico-MG0 : 4, 2 : 2
    4Botafogo PBFlamengo RJ2 : 4, 0 : 1
    5NovorizontinoCorinthians0 : 1, 0 : 1
    6CearaPalmeiras0 : 3, 0 : 1
    7Sao PauloNautico2 : 1, 2 : 1
    8BrusqueAthletico-PR0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9CSAGremio0 : 0, 3 : 2
    10Operario-PRVasco1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Botafogo RJCapital0 : 1, 4 : 0
    12CriciumaBragantino0 : 6, 1 : 0
    13FluminenseAparecidense4 : 1, 1 : 0
    14InternacionalMaracana3 : 0, 1 : 0
    15RetroFortaleza2 : 1, 1 : 1
    16Paysandu PABahia0 : 4, 0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CRBCruzeiro0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Atletico-MGFlamengo RJ1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CorinthiansPalmeiras2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4Sao PauloAthletico-PR0 : 2, 2 : 1
    5CSAVasco1 : 3, 0 : 0
    6Botafogo RJBragantino1 : 0, 2 : 0
    7FluminenseInternacional1 : 1, 2 : 1
    8RetroBahia0 : 0, 2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1CruzeiroAtletico-MG
    2CorinthiansAthletico-PR
    3VascoBotafogo RJ
    4FluminenseBahia

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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