Varzim vs Lusitânia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Portuguese Liga 3 Varzim - Lusitânia
Result
4:0
12/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 9
Varzim - Lusitânia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
14
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
98
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
15
Corner Kicks
14
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Moshood M. ,
  • 7', Ribeiro S. 🟨,
  • 14', Chicao 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Moshood M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', Pereira D. , Arsenio ,
  • 51', Oliveira R. 🟨,
  • 66', 3 - 0, Moshood M. ,
  • 70', Ribeiro S. , Teixeira M. ,
  • 70', Castro D. , Joao Vasco ,
  • 71', Renato Luis , Mesquita T. ,
  • 71', Rebelo M. , Lapas Montenegro L. M. ,
  • 71', Moshood M. , Silva Nhaga I. ,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 80', Mesquita T. 🟨,
  • 80', Monteiro J. , Pimenta G. ,
  • 81', Oliveira R. , Graca H. ,
  • 84', Araujo C. , Ribeiro R. M. ,
  • 87', Ribeiro R. M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 4 - 0, Ribeiro R. M. ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Varzim
35.9%
Draw
32.8%
Lusitânia
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 35.4% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9% 35.2% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varzim's performance.
  • Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varzim that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Varzim - Lusitânia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (3.02)
    2.78
    (2.57)
    2.92
    (2.64)
    9.5%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Varzim won 2.
    • Recent matches Varzim is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lusitânia is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Varzim won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:5 (average 2.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varzim - Lusitânia were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Lusitânia - Varzim 2:0
    30.11.2024 Lusitânia - Varzim 0:0
    16.08.2024 Varzim - Lusitânia 1:0
    07.04.2024 Varzim - Lusitânia 4:3
    11.02.2024 Lusitânia - Varzim 1:0
    Latest results of Varzim
    06.04.2025 Amarante - Varzim 2:1
    29.03.2025 Fafe - Varzim 1:0
    15.03.2025 Varzim - 1 Dezembro 2:0
    09.03.2025 Varzim - Sporting Lisbon B 1:1
    01.03.2025 Belenenses - Varzim 0:0
    Latest results of Lusitânia
    29.03.2025 Lusitânia - Belenenses 1:0
    15.03.2025 Atlético CP - Lusitânia 0:0
    08.03.2025 1 Dezembro - Lusitânia 1:3
    01.03.2025 Lusitânia - Amarante 2:1
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1Pacos FerreiraOs Belenenses2 : 0, 1 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Varzim - Lusitânia?
    It is being streamed on channel
    portugalPortugalCanal 11
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